All posts by Robert Cruickshank

58-32 for High Speed Rail?

Crossposted from my new HSR blog

Those are the polling numbers CHSRA Board Chair Quentin Kopp cited in a Sacramento Bee article over the weekend:

Kopp said the bond measure enjoys public support for the landmark project. As the bond reads now, 58 percent of Californians favor the bond and 32 percent oppose it, he said.

Now, we don’t know any details of this poll other than what Kopp gave Judy Lin, the author of the Bee article. And those details matter. How many people were polled? What was the exact wording of the question asked of respondents? How many people said they were familiar with the high speed rail project? (If that number was above 40% I would be shocked.) All of that information is crucial to understanding this poll, and how seriously we ought to take it.

But for now, 58-32 is all we have to go on. And it is very encouraging. The rule of thumb for California ballot propositions is that the Yes position must be above 50% in the polls early on if it is to have a chance at passage. This is because most ballot props lose support as the election draws nearer. Negative campaigning is very effective, and as attacks on the proposition increase nearer the election, support ebbs. If you’re well above 50% before those attacks begin, though, the chances are typically good that the proposition will pass.

According to some critics, this is not a good year to take HSR to the polls. The usual argument is that given the state’s budget crisis, voters will not likely be willing to float $10 billion in bonds. I realize this is a valid concern, but I am confident we can pass this plan. Especially in November, when we are likely to see a very high turnout of progressive voters – the very folks who are most likely to get why HSR is such a good idea.

But to help ensure passage, the following points need to be driven home to California voters over the next 8 months:

  • HSR is necessary to our economic survival, in both the short term and definitely in the long-term. Californians need to see this as a necessary project that, if they voted to kill it, would cost them more than they’d save.
  • HSR is affordable – it won’t break our state’s debt ceiling, the system will likely generate a surplus as do all other HSR systems in the world, it’s cheaper than expanding airports and freeways, and it will spur a lot of economic growth.
  • HSR is necessary for our transportation needs – this really depends on more people learning about peak oil, but perhaps $4 gas and fuel surcharges on flights will help get us part of the way there. Californians have to see that they cannot expect to drive and fly around the state for much longer. If they want to see mom and dad in Orange County at Christmas in 2020, they’re going to need a high speed train.
  • HSR is necessary for our climate needs – it would eliminate 12.4 billion pounds per year of carbon emissions, equivalent to removing a million vehicles from the roads. If Californians really do take global warming seriously, they will see HSR as a compelling solution to the climate crisis.

Note the common theme: HSR is necessary. It isn’t, as the Contra Costa Times’ Capricious Commuter said, “an esoteric infrastructure project.” It is vital to this state’s future. If we are to win the vote this fall, we are going to have to make sure Californians understand that fact.

Another Insurance Company Seeks to Deny Lifesaving Care to a California Teen

It’s been just three months since Nataline Sarkisyan was killed by her health insurance company, CIGNA. Today the California Nurses Association and Eve Gittelson, aka “nyceve” at Daily Kos, bring us the story of another Southern California teen whose lifesaving treatment is being denied by an insurer – in this case, PacifiCare/United Health.

It’s unconscionable that in the United States in 2008, one has to organize protests in order to save a life. But here we are. From the CNA’s Guaranteed Healthcare website, where there are dozens of similar stories:

This is Nick’s older brother, Ricky, and I want to ask all of you for a huge favor. Our insurance company, PacifiCare, denied Nick to go to Kansas City for a special treatment of radiation for his cancer (this could save his life). Nick has suffered with cancer for 4 years of his life and he has exhausted every avenue to get better, but nothing worked. This is our last effort and this procedure has worked before with people in Nick’s situation. I think it is our duty to stand up for Nick and tell PacifiCare that what they are doing is wrong.

I am putting together a demonstration in front of the PacifiCare building at 5701 Katella Ave Cypress, CA 90630. Tuesday, March 25th, at 10:00 a.m. We are getting the media to step in and put pressure on (kcal9 and newspapers).

If we can at least get 300 people there I know they will have to say something about it. I know that my brother isn’t the only one suffering because of America’s poor healthcare system.

If you guys know anyone else that is suffering because of this, have him or her come out too. We need to let not only PacifiCare but America know that what they are doing is wrong and we need change.

Thank all of you so much.  

Ricky Colombo

From Eve’s diary at dKos:

Here are the emails I received from the California Nurses Association.

Just received a call from Ricky Columbo.  His brother Nick has cancer, and the treatments thus far have been ineffective.  The docs recommend cyberknife. Insurance won’t pay.

   He is organizing a protest outside the Pacifica Care building in Cypress, CA next Tuesday at 10.  He heard CNA did this kind of thing, and would like CNA to come and support the effort.  He says he has already rallied a bunch of people to come to it, thinks there is going to be a big crowd.

   He has also spoken with Dave Lopez at Channel 9, who is supposedly covering it.

Here’s another just received:

Just spoke to the young man, Ricky, 19.  Nick, this boy with Ewing’s Sarcoma (bone cancer) is only 17 – The mother works long hours preparing taxes for people and cares for the son before she leaves; the father then comes home earlier in the day to care for his son.

   They have had a local TV reporter to their home to interview Nick and are hoping to get more attention to push PacifiCare.

   Donna Smith

   Communications Specialist

   California Nurses Association

The contact information is PacifiCare at 714-828-1821 or Tyler Mason, the UnitedHealth/Pacificare spokesperson at 714-226-3530.

More info and background below.

At issue is a procedure known as “cyberknife.” I’m not a doctor, so I won’t pretend to know what exactly this involves. But the treatment is not considered surefire, although it is believed that it’s Nick’s best hope for survival. There is some dispute about whether or not the treatment is “experimental” and one Kossack who called PacifiCare was told this:

Just called and talked to Tyler Mason, the spokesguy…

He said that Nick Colombo’s claims were reviewed by USC and Stanford (which developed cyberknife).  Both hospitals said that Nick was not a good candidate for the procedure.  He also said that California regulators reviewed the request.  He said that the family found a doctor in Oklahoma who holds out some hope for cyberknife and they are pinning their hopes on this.

Poor Msson was upset at the 100s of calls he was getting and didn’t know where they were coming from or why.  đŸ™‚

I don’t doubt that Mason is spinning the facts and that there is more to the story.   I also think that Pacifica should pay for the procedure even if only one doctor says that it could help.   But I thought I should post Mason’s response.

And California Nurses Shum had this to say about the dispute between Nick’s doctors and PacifiCare:

For now, we have a compelling case with an important point: the medical decisions of this youth have been compromised by the system we have let him fall into.  For now, we can save one person shortchanged by the industry–and hope that his story will inspire the changes that all of us need.

At the end of the day, none of us can truly unwind the medical disagreement here: Nick’s doctors vs. PacifiCare’s.  But we can all see that Nick’s care decisions are taking place in an environment where PacifiCare’s profits are valued as much as his life, and we can never trust the results.

I think that’s an excellent response to PacifiCare’s attempt to muddy the waters. Many doctors dislike the insurance system partly because it limits their ability to provide care to their patients in this way (and it doesn’t help that insurers routinely stiff doctors on reimbursements).

Ultimately this is another example of why it is such a bad idea to have insurance involved in the delivery of basic health care at all. That’s not to say that government-run single-payer care would not have limits on what it could provide. But it would also not have the profit motive that leads insurers like Cigna and PacifiCare to coldly allow a young patient, who is insured, to die.

In Canada, for example, when there aren’t enough beds in town for a patient, the provincial health care authority will fly a patient to a place where there ARE enough beds, at no cost to that patient. In France the government health provider ensures that a sick child gets the full range of treatment he needs to live.

In America, however, we have this:

Hospitals Rank UnitedHealth/PacifiCare “Worst” Insurance Company in Nation

The Minnetonka, Minn.-based insurer received an “unfavorable” opinion from 91% of the hospital executives who responded, while 8% gave it a “favorable” rating. United owns PacifiCare of California.

California investigates 100,000 claims processing problems by Pacificare

UnitedHealth/Pacificare Looking at 13% Growth

   UnitedHealth Group Inc., the largest U.S. health insurer, is poised to reach its forecasts of 13 percent profit growth this year and next, even after being accused of cheating customers by New York’s attorney general.

Former CEO of UnitedHealth had to surrender ***$620***million in pay for options backdating scandal

And PacifiCare was fined for its claims denial problems…a paltry $3.5 million:

Pacificare fined $3.5 million

“This is off the scales in terms of severity. We rarely see so many complaints,” said state Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner. “I simply will not tolerate shoddy claims practices.”

Stories like Nick Colombo’s and Nataline Sarkisyan’s show us just how dire the state of health care in America has become, just how much we need root and branch reform – single-payer reform. With the failure of the pro-insurance industry mandate plan back in January, the initiative now seems to be with the advocates of single-payer care. Protest actions such as this will not only help save the life of a SoCal teen, but will help save many more lives as they hopefully become the basis of a broader single-payer movement.

It’s horrific that it takes a teenager facing death for us to see just how deeply flawed the health insurance concept has become in America. But, here we are. Let’s hope that PacifiCare does the right thing for Nick Colombo, and that WE can do the right thing and start working to ensure that all Americans have guaranteed access to affordable health care whenever and wherever they need it.

A full list of contact info, from nyceve:

You can also call this guy:

UnitedHealthcare

Tyler Mason, 714-226-3530–spokesperson

[email protected]

Main #: 714-952-1121

Then, you can move on to investor relations:

UnitedHealth Group

P.O. Box 1459

Minneapolis, MN 55440-1459

Ph. (800) 328-5979

Investor Relations Contact:

Cheryl Mamer

UnitedHealth Group

MN008-T930

9900 Bren Road East

Minnetonka, MN 55343

Ph. (800) 328-5979

Fax (952) 936-1819

[email protected]

Here’s contact information for Pacificare:

Contact Information

Telephone Numbers

Main Telephone Number: 1-800-624-8822

Hearing Impaired (TTY): 1-800-442-8833

The Other Budget Shoe Drops: Property Tax Collections Plummet

The ongoing state budget deficit is but one aspect of the crisis facing public services in California. Local governments in particular are still very dependent on property taxes, and when those revenues decline, it affects libraries, local parks, roads, and puts added pressure on local schools.

Which is why this LA Times article is so worrying to see:

The tumbling housing market has prompted county tax officials around Southern California to begin reducing the assessed value of many houses, resulting in lower tax bills for homeowners but less-than-expected revenue for already cash-strapped governments.

The values of more than 41,000 homes have been reassessed downward so far in Los Angeles County, resulting in an average tax saving of $660. Other counties have barely begun the reassessment process but promise to get the job done before property tax bills are mailed in October….

In Los Angeles County, the assessment rolls include 2.3 million parcels and about 300,000 pieces of business equipment, boats and airplanes. The county receives about a third of property tax revenue, cities get a quarter, school districts take 20% and community redevelopment areas and special districts combined receive 20%.

The process by which reassessment takes place is somewhat complicated, but the overall point is that as property values decline, so too will revenues.

And this is going to be a long decline. The “bottom” may not be reached for another 4 years. And as this recession is likely to be long and deep, it suggests that government finances in California, on the state and local level, are going to be stressed for the next few years.

In such a situation the previous approach of “gut and run” – slash the state budget and hope a quick recovery prevents further damage to services – will accomplish little more than creating more suffering.

Why Isn’t There A Democrat Running Against Abel Maldonado?

Abel Maldonado is one of the most vulnerable of the Senate Republicans facing reelection this year. Democrats hold a 40-37 edge in registrations in SD-15 and the district was given a D+7.8 rating in cali_girl_in_texas’ latest rankings. And he has a long, conservative voting record – including a 20% lifetime rating from the California Labor Federation (as of 2006). Maldonado’s moderate reputation should be put to its strictest test yet in 2008, with a very Democratic turnout in November and a Republican Party having to defend a record of economic crisis and budgetary disaster.

So why is it that NO Democrat filed to run for the SD-15 seat?! Is Maldonado being given a free pass?

When the filing deadline came and went on March 7, I was curious to see who was going to be the Democratic opponent in SD-15. As I called the registrar’s offices in the five counties that make up this long district (Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Monterey, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Barbara) I discovered that apparently nobody had filed. The CDP’s online organizers helped investigate, and ultimately concluded that there was no Democratic candidate, as the candidate filing status at the Secretary of State’s website confirms. Although former Assemblywoman Rebecca Cohn (who had represented AD-24, Santa Clara County, from 2000 to 2006) had expressed interest in a campaign for the SD-15 seat, no actual candidacy materialized.

As one of the most winnable Senate seats on this year’s ballot, not having a candidate is a pretty big failure. And it obviously begs the question why this failure happened. Since it is the leader of the chamber that is responsible for candidate recruitment – in this case, Don Perata – this quote from last summer, from an August 2007 George Skelton column (now in the LA Times pay-only archives), is worth remembering:

If the Senate’s top Democrat — President Pro Tem Don Perata of Oakland — has anything to do with it, Maldonado will survive. “I’d be happy to go down to Santa Maria any time and knock on doors and say what a solid guy he is,” Perata says. “I just admire him. I was just blown away by what he did, by his courageous stand on principle.”

This refers to Maldonado’s break with the Senate Republicans – including Jeff Denham – and voting for the Democratic budget during last summer’s standoff. As I explained at the time, however, this vote should not have been construed as overriding his long right-wing voting record. Maldonado voted against AB 32, and supported the Democratic budget only after Arnold promised to line-item $700 million in health care spending out of the final budget.

One quote alone from August 2007 does not prove Perata gave Maldonado a pass, but it is also cause for serious concern. Were Democratic candidates discouraged from taking on Maldonado? Was this a case of the failure of the local netroots, or a failure of Senate Democratic leaders, or a failure of a party system that centralizes candidate recruitment when this is perhaps better handled by local Democrats?

As we await these answers, it is worth keeping in mind the possibility of a write-in campaign to put someone on the June ballot – and give Maldonado the Democratic challenger he so richly deserves. According to the SoS website a write-in candidate would need 3,689 votes in June to be placed on the November ballot. Surely there is someone in this district, from Los Gatos on down to Santa Maria, who is interested in taking on this task.

Avoiding Reality, Avoiding Blame

The best way to sum up the conservative Republican reaction to both the state’s budget deficit and our economic crisis is “avoiding reality.” From elected Republicans to their media outlets to their fanatic base, California’s right-wing is finding itself having to become more and more extreme and divisive in avoiding the inevitable – higher taxes and more government spending as a solution to both our structural revenue shortfall and our worsening economic crisis.

And in the process, they’re also having to rewrite history to avoid blame for those problems. Faced with widespread public outrage over the 10,000 layoff notices sent to teachers this week, among other concerns, Republicans have now decided to accuse Democrats of causing the crisis – even though it was Republican policies that created both the budget deficit AND the economic downturn.

As always, one of the best examples of lashing oneself to the Yacht Party and its anti-tax zealotry comes from an Orange County Register editorial published last Friday, on Speaker NĂșñez’ oil tax:

The campaign to increase Californians’ taxes to bail out politicians who have spent the state into an $8 billion hole began in earnest this week.

Right here we see the first deflection of blame. Conservatives want us to ignore their role in the creation of the structural revenue shortfall. We are to pretend that they never rammed through Prop 13 in 1978, or $12 billion in tax giveaways made since 1993, including the $6.1 billion vehicle license fee cut.

Further, they’re not explaining which new spending is the problem here. As the California Budget Project explained last month, increases in spending came primarily in schools and in health care for the elderly. The fact is that we have a growing population of both young and old – and the Register is implying that they are responsible for our state’s plight, not the conservatives who systematically starved the state of necessary revenues.

The editorial goes on to suggest that pay cuts are the answer:

Mr. Nuñez should influence his friends at the California Teachers Association to agree to forego pay raises for a time. We don’t know how much money that would save, but considering public schools get about 52 percent of the state’s $102 billion budget, it should be substantial.

Aside from their “not knowing how much money that would save” (the likely answer is “not very much”), this is a very bad approach to our state’s other, related problem – the worsening economic downturn. More and more economists are coming to realize our basic economic problem is a lack of solvency, and the solution is to use government to raise incomes:

Too much debt and not enough income was the problem.

And the solution is simple: stop debt (this is happening on its own anyway). and boost income.

How do you do that when there isn’t enough money around?

By creating real activity rather than the money-shuffling kind.

And, as it were, there is a sector that is “real” and has an urgent need for action: infrastructure, and in particular energy-related infrastructure.

A plan that focuses on a few simple things:

   * massive public support for energy efficiency refurbishment of existing homes;

   * a massive, New Deal rural electrifaction scale plan to build renewable energy assets and the corresponding grid infrastructure;

   * a similarly massive plan to develop smart public transportation, both locally and intercity

All of those things will require public action, public taxes, public spending, and public workers. Additionally, it means California’s teachers – among others – should most definitely get a pay raise as a key method of economic stimulus. Keeping taxes low accomplishes absolutely nothing productive or positive for our economy, while keeping teachers employed and creating new public works projects is probably going to be the only solution to our economic crisis.

If that sounds like the New Deal, you’re right. And significantly, the Orange County Register’s political roots are in former publisher R.C. Hoiles’ strident opposition to the New Deal. At a time when New Deal-style solutions are needed for a 1930s-style economic crisis, the Register is already staking out far-right territory, and can be expected to do more of the same, even as the number of Californians without a job and overburdened with debt continue to rise.

The Register editorial also aligns itself with the worsening trend of blaming public workers for budget problems – as if it were these hard-working Californians, and not Republican legislators, who insisted on tax cuts and blocked sustainable, responsible revenue solutions in previous fiscal crises. We already know the outcome of the Register’s blame-the-workers mentality, as we tragically witnessed in last October’s fires.

This denial of reality, of blame, and rewriting of history isn’t limited to right-wing editorial pages. Sacramento Republicans are singing from the same songbook. For example, Sen. Bob Margett’s latest newsletter makes this ridiculous claim:

Since the Democratic majority keeps spending more money than taking in, their budget “solutions” invariably consist of more borrowing, more gimmicks, and calls for more taxes. The mid-year reductions taken earlier this year put this approach in plain view. Borrowing and accounting tricks were utilized to yield $5.4 billion in new revenues, but they could only come up with $1.5 billion in reductions.

This, of course, is meant to deflect us from the fact that it was the Republican governor Arnold Schwarzenegger who came to office in 2003 and cut $6.1 billion from the budget by cutting the VLF, and then turned to borrowing as a solution, costing us $3 billion a year in debt service payments.

Arnold himself has been blaming the legislature for the cuts, as if he wasn’t the one who proposed a $4.8 billion cut in education in the first place. Bill Cavala’s response to this is worth reading.

Finally there is the Republican base itself. Confronted with mass teacher layoffs and a declining economy that those layoffs will merely worsen, they refuse to accept that their anti-tax zealotry is the problem. Alongside the repetitions of worker-blaming and Democrat-blaming that I described above, conservatives insist on bringing the usual scapegoat in – immigrants. From comments on the Register’s article on OC’s 1,800+ teacher layoffs:

When I got to the heading ‘Disproportionate impacts’ I expected to see some points about how different schools are impacted. Of course the OC Register didn’t provide the examples how schools full of Illegal Immigrant children get a disproportionate share of the budget and special funding and it’s typically the middle and high income areas that take the brunt when it comes to cuts.

Finally, it’s time to recognize the real budgetary consequences of not enforcing our Immigration Laws. Would we have a budget issues if it were not for the vast numbers of Illegal Immigrant children in our schools?

Looks like if we started deporting all those that our breaking are laws we would not even need this many teachers .A friend of mine who is a teacher in Anaheim told me all the anchor babys were job security.whoops…

However, there is a inverse relationship between where we spend money on education and results. We spend more on Illegal Immigrants that consistently get lower test scores than American Citizens that we spend less on.

We do not have a revenue problem. We have a spending problem. Before we cut essential Education programs for our American citizens we need to reduce the charity to those that broke our laws coming here.

Bigotry, blaming workers, and bad economics – these are the conservative responses to our state’s fiscal and economic woes. Anything to avoid blame and avoid reality, I suppose.

CA Dems and the Big Win in the House on FISA

Crossposted from the Courage Campaign blog. I do some work for the Courage Campaign.

Earlier this week the mood was grim as most observers expected House Democrats would fold, not stand, on telecom immunity, the protection of rights, the rule of law, and the Constitution. But today they chose to do the right thing and, by a vote of 213-197-1, the House rejected telecom immunity and warrantless surveillance. Many of the Blue Dogs who had earlier signed a letter insisting on immunity instead voted to strip it from the bill. The bill will now return to the US Senate, which must decide whether to continue to carry water for the Bush Administration, or join the House in rejecting immunity and embracing the Constitution.

Glenn Greenwald wrote that this could be a major turning point:

It’s hard not to believe that there’s not at least some significant sea change reflected by this. They have seen that they can defy the President even on matters of Terrorism, and the sky doesn’t fall in on them. Quite the opposite: an outspoken opponent of telecom amnesty, warrantless eavesdropping and the Iraq War was just elected to the House from Denny Hastert’s bright red district, and before that, Donna Edwards ousted long-time incumbent Al Wynn by accusing him of being excessively complicit with the Bush agenda.

 Virtually every one I know who has expended lots of efforts and energy on these FISA and telecom issues has assumed from the start — for reasons that are all too well-known — that we would lose. And we still might. But it’s hard to deny that the behavior we’re seeing from House Democrats is substantially improved, quite commendably so, as compared to the last year and even before that. It’s very rare when there are meaningful victories and I think it’s important to acknowledge when they happen.

The key to victory appears to have been sustained pressure on not just the Blue Dogs, but the Democratic caucus as a whole, to reject immunity and expansion of Bush’s powers. Greenwald points to the "highly successful" effort to target six of the freshmen Dems as one of the reasons we won the vote today. Joan McCarter (aka "mcjoan") points to Ed Fallon’s strong primary challenge to Iowa Democrat Leonard Boswell as helping push Boswell into opposing immunity. And Greenwald mentioned above the victories of Donna Edwards and Bill Foster, both of whom took strong, progressive stands against immunity, as helping convince Democrats that opposing Bush’s power grab is an electoral winner.

The bill returns to the US Senate, where it is up to Dianne Feinstein and other Democrats to stand with their fellow Democrats in the House against immunity and warrantless wiretapping. Whether California’s Senator joins with the Speaker from California to block immunity remains to be seen.

Among the California Democrats who voted against immunity were Joe Baca and Jerry McNerney. Bob Filner voted against the revised bill, perhaps opposing it from the left as Kucinich did. (Any thoughts or explanations as to Filner’s reasoning would be welcome in the comments.)

HSR and P3: A Shotgun Wedding?

This is crossposted from my new California High Speed Rail blog

As those of you who have been reading me for the last year know, I love high speed rail. And you’d also know that I am deeply skeptical – to put it mildly – of public private partnerships (P3). So what am I to do when they are joined together in a shotgun wedding? From a press release put out by the California High Speed Rail Authority:

California High-Speed Rail Authority Executive Director Mehdi Morshed, joined Governor Schwarzenegger Tuesday in participating in a roundtable discussion at the State Capitol regarding the importance of investing in California’s infrastructure and maintaining the state’s economic growth through public private partnerships.

Mr. Morshed noted the California proposed system of high-speed trains offers a unique opportunity to develop a new model for “P3” or public private partnership financing….

Mr. Morshed noted that high-speed trains are attractive to private investors because California’s proposed system will bring a $1 billion annual profit or surplus, once built.

Now it’s not as if this is totally new. The 2002 Implementation Plan always envisioned that private financing would play some sort of role in the HSR project, although at the time it was expected to be limited to the bonds.

But what exactly is meant by “private financing” – and how bad might this really be for HSR?

The Authority’s finance team anticipates public-private partnership opportunities will include project debt financing, vendor financing, system operations and private ownership.

I can live with private involvement in debt and vendor financing, even though government can always borrow more cheaply. System operations is iffy at best – government runs the French, Spanish, German, and Japanese lines quite well, and when system operations were privatized in Britain, the results were deadly. Private ownership, however, is a line we must not cross – public ownership of infrastructure is key to an effective, safe, and affordable transportation system for Californians. High speed rail is an economic catalyst and an environmental and sustainablity necessity. It needs to be held in public hands for public uses, and not hollowed out for private profit.

And that $1 billion is a very, very enticing figure, especially for private companies and investors, who likely see in public infrastructure the kind of profit opportunities that they are now being denied in real estate and financial speculation. But that $1 billion would also be incredibly useful in building out the full HSR network envisioned in the 2002 Implementation Plan – or extending the service beyond its current routing (building an Altamont Pass alignment, for example).

In Europe, those operating surpluses are regularly plowed back into expansion of the HSR network. Spain’s first HSR line, the AVE train from Madrid to CĂłrdoba and Sevilla, proved so profitable that RENFE (Spain’s government-owned rail network) was able to plow that money into recent extensions to Malaga, Valladolid, and Barcelona. France’s state-owned rail network, SNCF has been able to do the same with expansion of its TGV lines as well. The operating surplus alone does not pay for these projects, but it helps reduce the added bond or tax monies needed to construct the new lines. Or, the surplus could be used to pay the bonds off ahead of schedule.

So there is a strong incentive to use those operating surpluses for HSR upgrades and extensions or bond repayment, instead of handing it over to private investors. But it seems clear that P3 is the price of obtaining Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s support for the plan. From the press release:

The bond measure, which is within the Schwarzenegger Administration’s current debt capacity guidelines, will also provide nearly $1 billion for improvements to local and regional passenger trains projects that complement and connect with the high-speed train system. The bond is also a significant component of the Governor’s Strategic Growth Plan as described in his proposed 2008-09 budget.

That section, especially the language about “debt capacity guidelines,” seems a very clear signal to me that Arnold is going to throw his weight behind the November HSR bond – but only because it promotes his goal of P3 for public works.

It’s a shotgun wedding, and the question is, how should we react? Is HSR worth the price of P3? Already we’re having to accept a lot of tough things to get this project moving. The Pacheco Pass alignment seems less ideal from a ridership and environmental perspective. And the plan floated by Fiona Ma and Cathleen Galgani to drop the insistence that LA-SF be the first line to open risks building a system that contains a missing link.

But neither are these poison pills. As I noted above, the Implementation Plan always called for private investment, to leverage the state, local, and federal funding. What seems more worrisome here is that Arnold is using HSR to advance a privatization agenda that is already being implemented in our state. HSR is too important a project to force into a shotgun wedding with Arnold’s privatization push.

NĂșñez: Tax Oil for Schools

This proposal has been floating around for a while, but it now looks to be concrete. As reported by the SacBee, Speaker NĂșñez is proposing to raise taxes on oil companies to help reduce education cuts:

NĂșñez, a Los Angeles Democrat with close ties to education unions, is proposing a two-pronged approach by levying a 6 percent tax on all oil produced within the state, and imposing a 2 percent tax on windfall oil profits.

Together, the taxes would generate an estimated $1.2 billion a year for a cash-strapped state that still faces an $8 billion deficit for the fiscal year starting in July. Under the speaker’s bill, ABX 9, oil tax revenues would be dedicated for schoolteachers, who are facing potential layoffs under Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s across-the-board budget cuts.

This is basically Prop 87 again, and it’s a worthwhile proposal. The article goes on to note that the bill is likely to be opposed by Republicans. Which is probably the point here – to further expose the Yacht Party as out of touch, elitist, and defending the wealthy at the expense of schools.

Sure, this is low hanging fruit, and it’s not exactly a permanent solution to the structural revenue crisis. But I like the politics. Even though, as David notes below, we’re seeing a remarkable movement come together to protect education, the Republicans remain obstinate, and not as many Californians as we’d like see the need to raise taxes to finally fix our 30-year old revenue shortfall. Calling out the Republicans like this, and forcing them to make a public defense of unpopular companies at the expense of children is a great way to lay the groundwork for what will be a long struggle.

Density is Not a Four-Letter Word

David Lazarus is showing to Southern Californians what Bay Area readers already knew: the man really understands the problems facing working Californians, and is not afraid to write about them directly and engagingly. In January he took on Prop 13 and called for it to be revamped, if not scrapped. Today he has shifted his focus to the struggles renters face in LA.

As any of us who have lived in the area realize, rents are nearly unaffordable in the urban center of LA – the place where it’s easiest to live without a car. Lazarus opens his column with the story of a single mother who makes $38K as an admin assistant and who can only afford a rental way out in Lancaster. This is a familiar story to me – I know a LOT of Californians who make a similar commute. And as oil prices soar toward $4/gal, it is becoming more difficult for working Californians to get around.

For the last few decades, Californians have been told the solution is more of the same – more sprawl, more freeways, more commuting. The obvious solution – to build more housing in the urban core – is opposed by those who believe, as a USC professor lamented in Lazarus’ column, “density is a four-letter word.”

Lazarus helps explain why the anti-density movement is blocking what I described last summer as the redefinition of the California Dream for the 21st century – that unless we invest in greater urban density, we will inscribe inequality permanently on the urban landscape.

For example, one of the major obstacles to affordable rental housing construction in the urban core is the archaic parking requirement:

One reason housing prices are so high is a requirement that newly built multiunit dwellings (and condo conversions) provide at least one — usually two or three — parking space per unit. This inflates the cost of each apartment and discourages construction of smaller, more affordable units because developers would be required to provide even more parking.

“The fixation on parking in Los Angeles has driven up the price of housing and increased congestion on our streets,” said Donald Shoup, a professor of urban planning at UCLA. He said including two spaces with a unit can add about $45,000 to construction costs.

One solution would be to waive the parking requirement for smaller apartments, thus creating an incentive for developers to place more such units on the market. And because there’d be no parking cost built into the rent, such units would (in theory) be cheaper than apartments that come with extra room for vehicles.

This could have the added benefit of increasing demand for public transportation — presuming, that is, people would trade car ownership for reduced rent. Increased demand would hopefully spur development of commuter-friendly projects like a long-delayed Westside subway line.

But Gail Goldberg, L.A.’s planning director, said any proposal that includes cutbacks in parking tends to go nowhere. “People feel like there’s already not enough parking and that people are intruding into their neighborhood. This is a difficult discussion to have.”

Here we see the core problem: those who established themselves in these neighborhoods in the 20th century, under a now-obsolete version of the California Dream, refuse to admit that their perspectives and expectations need to change. Whether they know it or not, those who oppose density are helping establish a “homeowner aristocracy” – where the benefits of society go only to those who were lucky enough to buy a house before 2000, or who inherited from someone who did. In order to maintain the fantasy that urban neighborhoods can have enough parking for everyone who wants a car, LA is now making it unaffordable to rent a home if you are not making an upper middle class income, and those who can’t afford it are forced to drive – and bear the brunt of peak oil’s arrival.

San Franciscans might empathize. The squeeze on parking spaces there is legendary; a garage is almost a mythical prize. And yet, as many more San Franciscans are realizing, there is really no good reason to own a car if you live in the City. MUNI has its problems, but it gets people around. Carsharing services like Zipcar or City CarShare allow one to access a vehicle on the few occasions they might need it, reducing the need for parking spaces and car ownership.

As more and more scholars are coming to realize, car ownership has high costs for workers – “you work on Friday to pay for your auto”. Adding in the environmental and climate costs of long car commutes, and anti-density policies are clearly having a catastrophic effect on our state. City centers can thrive with less parking, and it brings the added benefit of not bankrupting the workers who keep that city going.

Lazarus suggests that alongside going after the parking requirement, we pursue mixed use development:

A more politically practical remedy may be to ease zoning requirements for mixed-use properties, thus allowing creation of urban villages featuring retail outlets at street level and moderately priced living spaces overhead.

This is already happening to some extent above a handful of subway stations, such as the Wilshire Vermont Station project in Koreatown. But creation of dynamic transit villages throughout L.A. remains a distant prospect at best.

It’s unfortunate that this seems a “distant prospect at best,” especially because so many other West Coast cities already embrace mixed use. Seattle, where I lived from 2001 to 2007, is an excellent example of mixed use, and in my last years there I got along quite well without having a car at all. SF and Oakland exhibit effective mixed-use policies. So does my current home of Monterey – virtually everything I need, from the library to the supermarket to bars and entertainment is a short walk or bike trip away.

Much of Southern California looked like this as well, at least before 1950. Since that time, under the leadership of conservative Republicans, SoCal pioneered the single-use, car-based sprawl that has now brought the American economy to the brink of collapse. SoCal gambled that cheap oil and affordable land would last forever. That gamble is now quite clearly lost – so why should we listen to the anti-density forces who basically would have us double down?

If we are to renew the promises of the California Dream – affordable, clean, pleasant living for all the state’s working people – we are going to have to turn to density. We need to invest in public transportation, apartments and condos, and mixed use policies. If we do, we can restore the promise of economic security to the people of our state. If we do not, we will create a pattern of inequality that will likely dominate our society for the entire century.

Loyalty Oath Teacher Reinstated by CSU East Bay

A few weeks back I brought you the story of the Quaker teacher who was fired by Cal State East Bay for altering the state’s ridiculous loyalty oath to conform to her religious beliefs. Today’s LA Times reports that she has happily won her job back – with help from her fellow teachers, her union, and even Attorney General Jerry Brown.

The university, averting a showdown over religious freedom, agreed to rehire Kearney-Brown after the office of state Atty. Gen. Jerry Brown helped draft a statement declaring that the oath does not commit employees to bear arms in the country’s defense….

The firing of Kearney-Brown, who also is a graduate student at the campus, brought widespread criticism from faculty members, students, Quakers and civil-liberties advocates. Some faculty members began circulating a petition objecting to it. The United Auto Workers, which represents teaching assistants, pursued a grievance on Kearney-Brown’s behalf.

“People were outraged,” said Henry Reichman, a Cal State East Bay history professor and chairman of the Academic Senate. “I was very vocal on the campus that this was an outrageous thing.”

The ultimate resolution involved Kearney-Brown getting CSUEB to attach a document to her signed oath clarifying that the oath would not require her to take up arms to defend the state or the constitution, in conformance with her Quaker beliefs. Although the university resisted this, Jerry Brown’s office produced a document that read:

“You should know that signing the oath does not carry with it any obligation or requirement that public employees bear arms or otherwise engage in violence,” read the unsigned statement. “This has been confirmed by both the United States Supreme Court . . . and the California attorney general’s office.”

Although this particular story has a happy ending – and should set a precedent for others whose religious or personal beliefs would be violated by this ridiculous oath – it still raises the question of whether or not this ridiculous anachronism still has any place in California.

It also reminds us of the importance of unions in protecting not just wages and benefits, but civil liberties. Kearney-Brown, like most CSU TAs, is represented by UAW Local 4123. (Note: I was an organizer and steward in UAW Local 4121 at UW.) With her union on her side she had legal and political power, helping her get her job back within days. It also helped that our state Attorney General was willing to step in and defend her civil liberties, as opposed to trying to trample them like some other AGs we know.

Ultimately this reminds us of the importance of coalitions to protect civil liberties. Whether it’s a loyalty oath, FISA, or waterboarding, our basic rights must be supported and protected by the public. Once we start abandoning or refusing to defend the rights of others, we will quickly find we are losing our own.