All posts by Brian Leubitz

SD-15: John Laird TODAY!

Today’s the day.  Well, not really today so much as the last few weeks have culminated with today.  Though it doesn’t really feel like an election day, today is the official election day along the central coast in the skirmish to replace St. Abel Maldonado since he was called up appointed to be the Lt. Governor.

Residents from Santa Clara County to Santa Barbara County — including Saratoga, Los Gatos, Almaden Valley and Morgan Hill — are choosing a replacement for former state Sen. Abel Maldonado, who was appointed lieutenant governor earlier this year.

Though the winner of ?today’s Senate race could help shape the outcome of the state’s muddled budget negotiations, the oddly-timed summer election is not likely to draw a high turnout. (SJ Merc)

I cannot stress enough the importance of electing John to the Senate. Beyond the numbers game in the Senate, which is plainly critical, John is the right person for the job.  He has the experience that we need, his work with the budget in the Assembly was superb.  And he is the kind of person, honest and hard-working that the legislature needs more of.  

If you know anybody in the district (PDF), please call them to make sure they have voted. If you are near the district, stop in to one of the campaign offices to help out.  And, you can always watch the twitter feed.

SD-15: John Laird TODAY!

Today’s the day.  Well, not really today so much as the last few weeks have culminated with today.  Though it doesn’t really feel like an election day, today is the official election day along the central coast in the skirmish to replace St. Abel Maldonado since he was called up appointed to be the Lt. Governor.

Residents from Santa Clara County to Santa Barbara County — including Saratoga, Los Gatos, Almaden Valley and Morgan Hill — are choosing a replacement for former state Sen. Abel Maldonado, who was appointed lieutenant governor earlier this year.

Though the winner of ?today’s Senate race could help shape the outcome of the state’s muddled budget negotiations, the oddly-timed summer election is not likely to draw a high turnout.(SJ Merc)

I cannot stress enough the importance of electing John to the Senate. Beyond the numbers game in the Senate, which is plainly critical, John is the right person for the job.  He has the experience that we need, his work with the budget in the Assembly was superb.  And he is the kind of person, honest and hard-working that the legislature needs more of.  

If you know anybody in the district (PDF), please call them to make sure they have voted. If you are near the district, stop in to one of the campaign offices to help out.  And, you can always watch the twitter feed.

Prop 8 Proponents Say “Nuh-Uh”

cross posted from the Prop 8 Trial Tracker

The Prop 8 Proponents filed their response to the Plaintiff’s brief opposing the motion for emergency stay.  The whole thing can be summarized thusly:

Nuh-Uh

As was mentioned in the comments, the brief is essentially a revising of history trying to ignore the fact that the trial took place.  But they get the whole party started off right: by using italics!

But when Plaintiffs’ distortions, cariatures, and straw men are cleared away, their constitutional challenge to Proposition 8 boils down to this: the institution of marriage has been deliberately defined as an opposite-sex union by virtually every society throughout history – from the ancients to the American states – for no good reason.

So, there you have it. The entire case boiled down to one easy sentence courtesy of Chris Cooper and the Prop 8 legal team.  You can all go home now, because this thing is all wrapped up into a tidy box with a shiny bow of discrimination.

In real life however, such quick rejections in legal documents aren’t really going to change any minds, or win any stays.  So, they do waste 22 perfectly good pieces of paper to write some other startling pieces of legally questionable arguments.  Matty Matt pointed this one out in the comments of the previous thread, and it is definitely worth addressing:

Because Plaintiffs have no concrete  plans to marry, not only will a stay not harm them, but their standing  to maintain this action is doubtful.  At any rate, Plaintiffs’ claims of harm to themselves, like their claims regarding the public interest, depend entirely on their claim that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional. (Brief at page 15)

This is another standing issue, but it brings up different questions than the question of the proponents ability to pursue appeal.  Under the jurisprudence on standing, the plaintiff must have a concrete injury.  Now, that is not to say that the emotional harm isn’t necessarily enough to pursue the case, because that would be a question that is on the fuzzy side that we wouldn’t really want to mess with.  The two couples who serve as the plaintiffs surely want to marry, but they want their legal case to be settled.  If they were to marry during the stay, their ability to continue the case could be called into question.  Out of an abundance of caution, they are waiting until the case if finally resolved, but that doesn’t mean that Cooper and the gang won’t try to use it.

That being said, this is fundamentally a weak argument.  The case cited, Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, is a very different question.  In that case, some environmentalists sued the government over a couple of development projects on other continents would possibly harm some habitat of some endangered species.  The plaintiffs claimed their injury was that they wouldn’t be able to see the animals on some as-yet defined trip to the regions.  The court said that was insufficient, with Justice Scalia saying that a plane ticket to the region would have been sufficient for standing. Now, there was debate at the time of that decision as to its legal basis, but that is the law of the land as it stands.

It really is not that hard to distinguish the Prop 8 case from Lujan. First, if you even just go by Justice Scalia, the plaintiffs engagement should be their “plane ticket” to satisfy standing requirements. Many couples take years to plan weddings, and these couples should not be forced to plan a wedding at some undetermined date simply because there is a “window.”  The plaintiffs want to marry, and they want the right to marry at a time of their own choosing.  Furthermore, these couples have a much more tangible right at question here than the simple good feeling from knowing a species is alive on the other side of the world.

With these sorts of winning arguments, I almost expect Andy Pugno to ask the Court “I know you are, but what am I?”

Carly Fiorina Doesn’t Really Understand the Bill of Rights

Carly Fiorina has lots of issues with President Obama.  She’s a Mama Grizzly after all, and they are protecting their … ummm … “nation” from the dangers of health care for all.  You know, the really dangerous stuff.

Dangerous stuff like the possibility of a mosque several blocks down the road from Ground Zero, the site of the World Trade Center. Now, I understand the importance of honoring the tragedy of the events of 9/11, but are we to blame a whole religion for the actions of a few crazy zealots? The twisted and violent death cult that the 9/11 bombers are engaged in is not the religion that is practiced by the millions of American Muslims that are actively engaged in our civic life.  Sam Seder goes ahead and makes a complete mockery of the whole “controversy” in the video to the right.

Real credit should be given to President Obama for his statement on the matter:

As a citizen, and as President, I believe that Muslims have the same right to practice their religion as everyone else in this country. And that includes the right to build a place of worship and a community center on private property in Lower Manhattan, in accordance with local laws and ordinances.

Now, it appears, Carly thinks that the President of the United States shouldn’t get involved in issues of the (ahem) United States.

Two days after President Obama waded into the controversy over plans to build a mosque near ground zero in New York City, Republican Senate candidate Carly Fiorina said it was an “intensely personal and local issue,” adding that she didn’t think “it’s helpful when the president of the United States weighs in.” (LA Times)

Of course, the Mayor of New York City applauded the President’s comments, but you know, those aren’t the locals that Fiorina likes. The ones that agree with the Big Mama Grizzly herself.  Apparently it is ok when Big Grizz Palin chimes in to bring the issue to the nation’s attention by attacking it:

“Peace-seeking Muslims, pls understand. Ground Zero mosque  is UNNECESSARY provocation; it stabs hearts. Pls reject it in the interest of healing,” the former Alaska governor and Republican vice presidential candidate tweeted on Sunday. (ABC)

Note that Palin’s comments were made back in July, and she’s been keeping it up, especially since the President made his comments last week.  So, in summary, the comments of a half-term Alaska governor, completely appropriate.  The President of the United States speaking out with the support of the Mayor of New York? “unhelpful.”

But, truth be told, this is the former CEO who made the current sexually harassing, employee morale devestating CEO of HP Mark Hurd look like a darn right treat.  But, you know, it’s not easy to climb to the hop of the heap of worst CEOs.  So, what can you expect really.  Certainly somebody with this kind of track record is somebody who should be speaking out on what is “helpful” in other jurisdictions.

Prop 8 Plaintiffs Argue Against 9th Circuit Stay

Late yesterday, the legal team behind the Prop 8 Challenge filed their response to the Motion for Emergency Stay.. You can see the full document over the flip. Nothing too surprising here. The plaintiffs basically went through the four factors for a stay, and showed that the burden has not been met.

The Plaintiffs’ motion specifically argues that:

·      Proponents cannot possibly make a “strong showing” that they are likely to prevail in their appeal.

·      There is significant question as to whether Proponents even have standing to pursue an appeal.

·      Proponents have failed to establish that they will likely suffer irreparable injury in the absence of a stay.

·      A stay will cause substantial irreparable harm to Plaintiffs.

·      The public interest favors immediate enforcement of the judgment.

The deadline, as you probably recall, is August 18 at 5pm.  If the 9th Circuit declines to issue a stay or simply does not do anything by then, counties will be able to issue marriage licenses to same sex-couples.

CA9Doc 9

Fiorina Knows How To Bash, Not So Good On the Details

Dan Morain hits the nail on the head today in the Sacramento Bee in a column about Carly Fiorina. As we would say in Texas, she’s all hat and no cattle.  In other words, there is a lot of talking, but if you dig down there just isn’t anything there.

Based on Carly Fiorina’s talking points, you’d think that U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer burst the housing bubble, crashed the stock market and inflated the federal budget deficit to obscene dimensions all on her own. …

Fiorina said she had little familiarity with three California judicial nominees blocked earlier this month by Republicans in the U.S. Senate–surprising for someone who aspires to serve in the Senate.

(SacBee)

Let’s face it, Carly Fiorina will not be CEO of anything if she won the Senate election. (And thank goodness for that!) But, as Morain points out, the one area that she would have some real power would be in the area of judicial appointments.

But Carly doesn’t even know enough to discuss the issue? I guess only Kagan made it into her briefing book, but as a Senator she’s going to need to dig a little deeper.  But from what we’ve seen of Carly on the campaign trail, she’s all about superficiality and tossing red meat to the base.

In fact, she seldom misses an opportunity, even now, to mention how anti-choice she is. In a new ad, the Boxer campaign highlights this fact for California voters.  

Carly Fiorina is nobody’s moderate.  She is a right-wing extremist who would take us back to the dark days of back alley abortions.  She is just too dangerous to trust in the Senate.

Who Wants to Play Whitmanopoly?

PhotobucketI find NotTheLATimes generally hilarious, but the newest addition to the site, Whitmanopoly, is simply insane. (h/t OCRegister).  It’s a version of the game Monopoly with all sorts of twists and turns.

RULES OF PLAY

PREPARATION: Meg Whitman starts the game with $150 million. Jerry Brown gets $20 million and an autographed poster of Linda Ronstadt.

TOKENS: Brown travels around the board with a 1974 Plymouth. Whitman commandeers a wheelbarrow of cash.

And on and on it goes.  It takes shots at both candidates, but let’s be honest, one candidate offers much, much more fodder than the other.  I’ll try not to spoil it, just go see it right now!

Just Who Are These Prop 23 Financiers?

Prop 23 FundingSure, you might be rocking your Boycott Valero bumper sticker, but have you thought about who this particular oil company is?  Or Tesoro, the other big Texas oil company funding AB 32 greenhouse gas pollution regulations? Well, as the Ella Baker Center found out as they did some digging, they are a pair of companies that has consistently and repeatedly trashed the environment.  Some examples:

On July 26, Tesoro settled with the Bay Area Air Quality Management District to settle 44 air quality violations  that included excessive releases of carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide and ammonia. The company agreed to pay the district $366,375. In 2008, it paid $1.5 million to settle air quality violations in Martinez.

Valero was cited earlier this year. On June 17, Valero released hydrocarbon, hydrogen sulfide gas and coke material into the atmosphere from its coker unit in Benicia. Four refinery employees were reportedly injured, and staff reported numerous air quality violations associated with the incident. (CalWatch)

Of, course there is a lot more, and you can find the details in the report (also available over the flip).  Both of these companies are trying to exploit the initiative system to shut down critical long-term planning for our environment for their own short term gain.  

But the market will correct for that, right? Well, not so much. This is a classic market failure.  Companies are in no way forced to pay for their emissions, so neither their products nor their inputs are properly priced.  And they push for less regulation because their management is hung up on short-term share price, rather than the long-term stability of the company. After all, it’s “rational” for the current leadership to do so because they won’t be there when the house of cards all falls down.

Take while the taking’s good, and leave the mess for the next sucker.  But, with Prop 16, California voters told the corporate world that while our initiative system can be bent, it isn’t completely broken yet.  No matter how much you spend, you can’t win with money alone.

UPDATE: I’ve added a graph of the funding for Prop 23. As you can see, the bulk of the money has come from out of state oil companies trying to exploit our initiative system for their own short-sighted gain. Click the image for a higher resolution version.

ToxicTwinsAsOfNoon-1  

Bono Mack Votes No, Lungren Walks on Teacher Funding

Congress made a quick break from their recess to vote for HR 1586, to which Carly Fiorina previously announced her opposition.  The measure would provide substantial funding for teachers during this recession.

It is one thing to voice opposition, but it’s another to do the deed and vote against retaining teachers for purely political reasons.  And that’s what we have with Mary Bono Mack, who today voted against HR 1586.  Oh, and Mack was joined by the rest of the California Republican delegation.  Well, save Dan Lungren who opted to walk out on the vote rather than casting that no vote.  That’s real political courage for you.

I’ll simply ask the same question of these two Congress members that Robert asked of Fiorina: How can you explain to Californians why you believe 16,500 teachers should lose their jobs and why should kids be taught in overcrowded classrooms?

Whitman’s Economics Make Little Sense

Note: As I say in the diary, this election really is that important.  Whitman would be a disaster for the state.  You can contribute to Jerry’s campaign at the Calitics ActBlue Page.

If you’ve read this blog much, you’ll have seen Robert’s excellent writing on the flawed economic vision that Meg Whitman is espousing.  Her stated goal of cutting 40,000 jobs is unrealistic, at best, and at worst could push the state economy into an even deeper recession.  Heck, even the Governor questions whether that number is at all possible, saying something to the effect of that it was all a big campaign pledge with no real meaning behind it.  Let’s be honest, if Arnold is calling your campaign cynically out of touch, well, dang, you are that and then some.

But beyond that mere gamesmanship of that 40,000 number, her fundamental principles of her economic plan are just plain flawed. Sure, she can dress them up in a pretty magazine with glossy pages. But the stinker remains the stinker.   Or, as a panel of economists wrote in a new Center for American Progress Action Fund report (PDF) highlighted in the LA Times today:

In short, Whitman’s diagnosis of the California economy is deeply flawed and her “solutions” would be deeply damaging. Her approach to economic policy, which she calls “my kind of supply-side economics,” is wrong for California. As we document, the economic “studies” she draws upon are unscientific and an unsound basis for policy. If implemented, her policy proposals are likely to have negative effects on jobs and economic growth and to deepen the state’s budget crisis.

Just as Meg’s glossy magazine is a worthwhile read, even if only to get an idea of how the other side thinks, this brief report should be universally read by progressives.  Jerry Brown has articulated a vision that seeks to grow the economy through innovation, but in and out of government, while Whitman wants to simply burn the whole place down.

The report calls out the gaping wholes in her plan, which she has been touting as some sort of panacea.  But, the math just doesn’t add up. She wants to cut $15 Billion in spending while decreasing taxes. Yet the deficit stands at about $20 Billion, so how in the world does she think that this math adds up?  This isn’t one of those corporate gigs where you can just toss a billion here, a billion there.

Furthermore, when you talk about shaving $15Billion off a $86 Billion budget, you aren’t talking about easy fixes.  You are talking about ending services that save lives, and slashing education in ways that will continue to decrease our state’s ability to compete in the new knowledge based economy.  The cuts that have been made already are shocking enough, to further imply that cuts alone are the solution belies a thorough misunderstanding of the California budget.

So thorough is her misunderstanding that the simplest review of facts can put the lie to her statements.  First of all, you simply don’t just cut 40,000 workers without a major impact on government’s ability to function.  While she may beleive all the right-wing hooey about “waste, fraud, and abuse”, the fact is that goverment workers work just as hard as other workers, and there is no real evidence to show that waste is any higher in government than the corporate world. (Like, for example, go try asking a state worker if he or she has ever had some of the lavish lunches or private jets that Whitman got at eBay.)

Or another area, she argues that the state government is bloated, but the numbers just don’t bear that out.

In 2008, the most recent year available, California’s government employment per capita was 28 percent below the U.S. average, ranking 48th among the states, and California state employment per capita has not increased since the early 1980s.

So, is it all really as simple as Arnold has pointed out? She’s just saying this stuff to get elected, and that she’ll lurch towards sanity after November? Perhaps, but there are no sure bets, and Whitman is simply too dangerous to be complacent.  Jerry Brown’s victory is imperative for the state’s continued vitality.

UPDATE by Robert: It’s as clear as day: Whitmanomics doesn’t work for California. We already have 12% unemployment – over 21% if you go by the U6 measure. The absolute last thing we need is more unemployment, and the main thing we DO need is more investment in working people and the infrastructure that supports them. Whitman instead will continue a pirate economics of robbing the middle class blind.