All posts by Brian Leubitz

Sarah Palin: Transparency is for Hippies

You may have seen word of the CSU Stanislaus- Sarah Palin affair.  The “Foundation” didn’t want anybody to know how much money was in play for Palin, and she certainly wasn’t talking.  A few students dug through a dumpster or two to find some relevant documents.  There were some freedom of information requests that netted a few more documents as well.

But it’s all a waste of time, at least according to Sarah Palin.

“A suggestion for those Dumpster divers: Instead of trying to tell people to sit down and shut up … spend some time telling people like our president to finally stand up,” she said.

The material recovered by the students, which detailed perks such as first-class airfare for two and deluxe hotel accommodations, prompted California Attorney General Jerry Brown to launch an investigation into the finances of the university’s foundation arm and allegations that the nonprofit violated public disclosure laws.

“Jerry Brown and friends, come on. This is California,” Palin retorted. “Do you not have anything else to do?” (AP)

Clearly Palin just doesn’t get it. This isn’t about telling anybody to shut up, it is about transparency at a state connected institution.  It’s fine that they are getting Palin to speak there. I mean, I wouldn’t pay to see her, but if they feel that’s a good way to make money, fine.  But the people of California deserve to know how much Palin is taking from the “CSU-Stanislaus Foundation” in exchange for speaking.

But no, with Palin, it’s all about blaming others first. How dare you seek transparency?

SD-40: Some Troubling News

One of the more contested races in the June primary was the SD-40 race between Juan Vargas and Mary Salas.  This is one of those clear-cut decisions for progressives. Vargas is wishy washy on all of our issues, got the bulk of his support from corporate interests, and wasn’t there for the LGBT community when it came time for a vote on marriage equality.

On election day, it looked like Salas was going to take the race. Now, well, things are different…and confusing.

Updated results from San Diego County this afternoon gave Vargas a six-vote edge district wide. According to totals reported by all three counties in the district, Vargas leads with 24,079 votes to Salas’ 24,073. San Diego County has roughly 750 ballots to count countywide, though not all of those will be from this district or race. (CapAlert)

Oh, and there are 12,500 votes up in the air, so this is far from over.

We’ll keep you updated, as this is going to go on for a while…

SD-15: Roll it again

I really can’t be effusive enough about my respect and admiration for John Laird.  So, I was a bit disappointed to see Sam Blakeslee top the first round of voting.  And he is frightfully close to the magic 50%. Right now he’s sitting on 49.7% of the vote with all precincts reporting.  

Assuming that holds up we will have a run-off. With exactly the same candidates. Yes, you read that right. Because in special elections, every party leader goes to the general election, we’ll be seeing the same four candidates in the race. And turnout will be exceedingly low again.

So, in the next three months, we’ll need to work harder to claw back those 10,000 votes and turn out our voters.  Surely if we would consolidate this election with the general election, like it should be, we would be in a solid position come November.  However, Arnold chose to waste the money for another special election, so we will need to work ever harder to push John Laird over the top.

Don’t Get Snookered, Central Coast

Back in 2008, Tony Strickland ran something of an interesting campaign to defeat Hannah-Beth Jackson.  He ran as a neo-environmentalist.  His mail was all about Green energy, and how he has quite the record in developing said energy.

Of course, you’d have to consider some pretty dirty energy to be “clean” to buy that. However, Strickland snuck through by a few thousand votes as enough people bought the hype.

Now, fast forward to today, and it’s all being run over again. This time it is Sam Blakeslee, the man who has consistently taken Big Oil dollars trying to make himself all clean and green.  It’s a tough task to be sure.

But CalBuzz goes ahead and punches the holes out of that story:

The blunt truth of the matter, however, may be found in 1) the lavish oil industry contributions shoveled into committees that have forked out more than $1 million to back Blakeslee’s play in the 15th State Senate district and 2)  the photograph posted at the top of this story, which shows exactly where the San Luis Obispo GOP assemblyman stood on offshore oil drilling in California – before that whole Gulf of Mexico thing made it really, really unfashionable. (CalBuzz)

As John Laird pointed out about his election, this truly is critical.  We’ll likely see Laird and Blakeslee in the runoff, but this is where we must start to tell Central Coast voters the real story. Fortunately, the CDP has gotten a virtual phone bank system up and running, so now’s the time.  The election is Tuesday, let’s push John Laird over the top.  Heck, maybe we can even avoid that runoff…

On the Prop 8 Closing Arguments

I’ve been trying to keep abreast of the Prop 8 closing arguments, hitting refresh on several different websites.  Through all of this, I have tried to at least, on occasion, take a step back to be as objective as possible.  I was always something of a skeptic. After all, much of our judiciary has been appointed by Republicans.  It just seemed like the logical conclusion of all this was some sort of temporary victory for Maggie Gallagher’s team.  However, all that being said, I am now coming to the conclusion that our odds really aren’t that bad.  And in many ways, the real legal reach would be to not overturn Prop 8.

That isn’t to say that Prop 8 will be overturned by the Supreme Court.  The Roberts court has been known to make a few reaches of legal logic in the past, and a decision favoring Cooper’s  case would not really shock anybody.  But, the case that the legal team, headed by Olson and Boies, has built here is really quite solid.

As Rick noted, Judge Walker spent much of the day trying to get a legally valid point to emerge from Cooper’s mouth.  But, when it comes down to it, this is the heart of their case:

The legislative process involves setting priorities, making difficult decisions, making imperfect decisions, and approaching problems incrementally. That process is what is at work in this state.

And it’s at work elsewhere in this country. And as the court…said, there is a debate about the morals, the practicalities, and the wisdom of this issue that really goes to the nature of our culture. And the constitution should allow that debate to go forward among the people.

In other words, what Cooper is arguing here is that despite how wrong Prop 8 might be, it should still stand.  He has essentially given up on arguing that Prop 8 is actually accomplishing some valid purpose. Instead, he is relying on the “rational basis” test to argue that the state legislative authority allows Prop 8 as some sort of valid exercise because the state might have some sort of “channeling” power towards marriage. (Who exactly they are channeling remains an open question. Because, I’m pretty sure I will not be channeled anywhere.)

He doesn’t bother to claim that this is a good idea, or a just idea. Rather, it simply a “rational basis” to legislate from.

Trouble is that, quite simply, it is not a rational basis. I don’t think I can say it any better than Ted Olson:

So how does preventing same-sex couples from getting married advance the interest or protect the interest of procreation? They are not a threat to us. What is one single bit of evidence if you accept the channeling function if you accept the right that the State of California has the right to do that and I do not this is an individual constitutional right and every Supreme Court decision says it’s the right of the person. It’s not the right of the State of California to channel us into certain activities or in a certain way.

There’s a long way to go folks, but today was a good day.  Even if we lose at the Supreme Court, this case has been a valuable exercise for the nation. Cross-posted from Prop 8 Trial Tracker

Expect More of the Same in the Prop 8 Closing Argument Tomorrow

I had a bit of time to go over the responses to Judge Walker’s questions, much like some of my fellow Trial Trackers did in the comments to a post with the parties responses to Judge Walker’s questions.

First, let’s get this one out of the way: don’t expect anything new.  By definition, closing arguments are something of a summary of what’s come before.  What you see in closing argument is each side pressing their advantages, and this case is no different.

See more over the flip…

So what are the proponents’ advantages? Well, if you read more than a page of their responses you see what they think is their strong point: rational basis scrutiny. In other words, Pugno and the gang believe that because gays and lesbians have never been considered a “suspect class” under the law, they are the ones defending the strategic ground.  They only need to prove that there was some “rational basis” for the state to enact the legislation, nothing more.

As you go through their responses you will see this as the dominant theme. And that’s reflected in two ways.  First, their rather persistent repetition of the fact that they believe rational basis review applies here. I think I lost count of the number of occasions they brought it up, but I was over two hands on it.  Of course, Judge Walker asks this question to both sides, and the answers are instructive.  While not the most thrilling question on the list, it does go to the heart of the matter.  I offer them here, omitting citations:

Prop 8 Proponents:

Because same-sex marriage is neither “objectively, deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition” nor “implicit in the concept of ordered liberty,” and because Proposition 8 does not classify on the basis of a suspect or quasi-suspect characteristic, Plaintiffs claims are subject to  rational basis review.  Proposition 8 thus “bear[s] a strong presumption of validity,” and  Plaintiffs “have the burden to negative every conceivable basis which might support it.” (Page 31)

Plaintiffs:

Prop. 8 infringes on Plaintiffs’ fundamental right to marry (as well as their fundamental right to privacy and personal autonomy) and discriminates on the basis of sexual orientation and sex.   Because Prop. 8 impairs fundamental rights and discriminates on the basis of suspect classifications,  Proponents bear the burden of proving that Prop. 8 is narrowly tailored to further a compelling state  interest.  In the alternative, if the Court  concludes that strict scrutiny is not appropriate, then Proponents would bear the burden of proving  that Prop. 8 is substantially related to an important state interest because Prop. 8 infringes on  Plaintiffs’ right to marry and their right to privacy and personal autonomy-which are significant  liberty interests-and discriminates on the basis of sexual orientation and sex, which are both (at a  minimum) quasi-suspect classifications.  If  the Court concludes that rational basis review applies, then it should examine the interests that  Proponents offer for Prop. 8 to determine whether they are legitimate state interests.  If the  interests are legitimate, then Plaintiffs would be required to prove that Prop. 8 does not in fact  “advance” those interests.

You’ll notice that the Plaintiffs response is much longer, and to be blunt, this is because they offer a complete response.  The Proponents answer only in their optimal case, while the plaintiffs look at all possible scenarios. Much of that completeness is just law school textbook stuff, but it is worth repeating on this site as often as possible.  Especially when it is actually in the filings.

To summarize the plaintiffs position a little bit, what they are saying is that they believe that a) gays and lesbians are/should be a suspect class and that b) the proponents must prove their case accordingly.  Now, I should point out that in In re Marriage Cases, the 2008 decision that made my marriage possible, the California Supreme Court said that sexual orientation is a suspect class under the California Constitution. That doesn’t apply to the federal courts, who are interpreting the federal Constitution, but it is worth noting. However, no federal court has ruled that the federal Constitution does view sexual orientation as a suspect class.  This case seeks to change that. It’s a broadening of the law, but one that is reasonable considering recent jurisprudence.

The plaintiffs also suggest that if strict scrutiny isn’t going to apply, then intermediate should.  This is primarily used on gender cases, but there is sound legal argument on this front as a sort of midway point.  And finally, they point to rational basis, the least favorable test, acknowledging their own burden under that situation.

The bulk of the rest of the proponent responses tries to shoe-horn in as much of their crazy evidence as possible.  They’ve got the discredited Netherlands data in there on page 14. See my post during the trial highlighting the evidence debunking that. Long story short on that: Did marriage rates decline since the Netherlands allowed same-sex marriage? Yes, but at a slower rate than at periods before that.  Thus, if anything, it proves our point, not theirs.

On pages 12-13, they have their wildly generalized, and far from conclusive, evidence showing that we don’t make as good of parents.  Except not so much. Their strongest evidence for that point is a response that doesn’t even look at same gender parenting, rather, it is more accurately viewed in the context of single parenting.  But, on the facts, the proponents/defendants are really grasping at straws.

Inversely, the plaintiffs are chock full of facts. On page 20 of the plaintiffs response, they go over the testimony showing few poor effects on the institution of marriage in jurisdictions where same sex marriage is the law, primarily from the evidence of Drs. Badgett and Cott.  And of course, there are these quotes from the eloquent tongue of the proponents’ star witness: David Blankenhorn:

Indeed, Mr. Blankenhorn himself conceded on cross-examination that allowing gay men and lesbians to marry would “be a victory for the worthy ideas of  tolerance and inclusion” and “a victory for, and another key expansion of, the American idea.”    Mr. Blankenhorn conceded that allowing gay men and lesbians to  marry “would probably reduce the proportion of homosexuals who marry persons of the opposite sex  and, thus, would likely reduce instances of marital unhappiness and divorce” ,  and also “would likely be accompanied by a wide-ranging and potentially valuable national  discussion of marriage’s benefits, status and future.”  

Thus, the questions for the court really are what standard to apply, and how to apply that standard.  If we are on the rational basis test, our burden is considerably higher, but as noted above, the facts the defense offered were paper-thin with more holes than a nice block of Emmentaler cheese.

That being said, there is a way for either side to win this case.  Rational basis standards have been known to allow some weak logic through the gates.  Of course, it is my sincere hope that Judge Walker takes a look at that Swiss cheese case, and sees right through it.  However, I will be eagerly awaiting the argument tomorrow.

PG&E Earned This

If ever any corporation earned regulatory legislation, PG&E did so when they spent nearly $50 million of ratepayer funds to try to pass a constitutional amendment to guarantee the monopoly.  And Mark Leno is making it happen.

Senator Mark Leno today announced legislation that would prevent Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) from using ratepayer funds to finance future political campaigns. The bill allows the corporation to continue participating in political campaigns, but stipulates that money derived from ratepayers cannot be used for political or public affairs expenditures.

Senator Leno’s bill requires PG&E to report its annual political and public affairs spending to the California Public Utilities Commission. The PUC will ensure that all political and public affairs spending identified in this report did not derive from ratepayer funds.

This is already the rule for municipal utitilies.  And, frankly, if PG&E wants to guarantee its monopoly so much, they should be totally fine with competing on a level playing field.

What do you think the odds of that are?

Negative Sum Game: Poaching Businesses as Race to the Bottom

To the right you will see the commercial that Nevada is airing right here in California. It is an attack against the California legislature. Which is kind of like hitting the broad side of a barn these days.

Chamber of Commerce folks like to point out the “massive” effects of poaching from other states. Yet, well, the facts don’t bear that out:

But other data show that business relocation has a minimal effect on California’s economy. The number of jobs lost because of business relocation each year – about 11,000 – is “relatively inconsequential,” according to a 2007 study by Public Policy Institute of California, a nonprofit and nonpartisan think tank. (LA Times)

The greater problem is that the resources pulled in these little tiffs is a net loss to both states.  Both states spend resources to pick off business from each other, and in the end it’s a zero sum game.  Well, less than zero as they end up giving incentives to new businesses to lure them, and watch the old ones slip out the door for greener pastures.

But when it comes down to it, California is a special place.  We simply have a combination of resources that few other places in the world can boast. Yet, given the vast resources of the state, others will be sure to continue their vulturing as we race to become the state offering the worst labor standards and the lowest taxes as states seek to become the new Somalia.

State Parks Measure Certified for November Ballot

On the June ballot, we really had just one measure to be really excited about — Prop 15 and the fight for fair elections.  While that went down, it clearly was in a tough fight in a low Dem turnout election.  November, that will be a different situation.  In November, the governorship will be up for grabs, and there will be several turnout operations. The marijuana measure is already on the ballot, but now add the state parks measure to that:

Secretary of State Debra Bowen  announced today that proponents of the “State Parks  and Wildlife Conservation Trust Fund Act” were projected to have submitted enough valid voter signatures to qualify.

The measure, backed by the California State Parks Foundation, would enact a $18 vehicle registration fee to fund state parks. In return, California motorists subject to the fee would get free admission to the parks. Proponents turned in more than 760,000 signatures in hopes of hitting the roughly 434,000 needed to make it on the ballot. (SacBee)

John Laird had proposed a similar measure back in 2008, but in this Legislature, anything mentioning additional revenue is pretty much DOA.  However, this measure could bring some broad appeal from interesting communities. Sportsman and fisherman would probably be interested, and it could offer something tangible for the voters.

I actually already pay for this service.  I bought the Golden Poppy Pass for $90 a while back, and it lets me park at most state parks in the state.  Quite a deal.

But ultimately, we need sustainable sources of revenue, and this will be one way to bring the parks a measure of security.

Of course there are always issues with tying our revenues to specific budget items, but considering the sad shape of the parks, with closures and reduced hours, this is what it has come to. At the very least, it is a good thing to let voters voice support for revenue.