Tag Archives: Gary Miller

CA-42: The Weekly Dirt on Dirty Gary

(Cross-posted at Trash Dirty Gary and The Liberal OC)

It’s been quite a wild week in the 42nd Congressional District. Ever since Ron Shepston announced that he’s running against Dirty Gary Miller, there have been quite some interesting developments that have occurred in the race to replace Dirty Gary. We’ve had the bloggers talk about going offline. We’ve had the California Democratic Party go online to announce its new website targeting Dirty Gary. We’ve heard rumors that a former Republican politician might reemerge to challenge Dirty Gary in the primary. Oh yes, and what did Ron say about John Kerry?

Follow me after the flip for all the latest dirt on Dirty Gary…

Part One: The Bloggers

The bloggers are coming out of the computer room. OK, so how do I know? The call has been made on Daily Kos. A few of my Kossack friends joined me at DFA Training last month, and they are ready to get the netroots involved in grassroots politics.

So what will come out of this? Hopefully, a whole lot of good work! I encourage our online friends, especially those of them in Southern California, to help us local activists in kicking some Dirty Gary arse and bringing some integrity back to the 42nd District!

Part Two: The Party

Nothing really prepared me for this. The California Democratic Party is actually doing something in the 42nd… And the 44th, as well as the 41st! It’s started the “Triangle of Corruption“, a web site that will keep track of all the dirty wrongdoings of Gary Miller, Ken Calvert, and Jerry Lewis. Way to go, CDP!

Part Three: The Other Challenger?

Oh my goodness, you just have to see this bit of salacious gossip that Art Pedroza included in this week’s “OC Political Chismes“! Apparently, there’s word out here that Lynn Daucher may run against Dirty Gary in the Republican Primary next June. Yes, you heard me right… Lynn Daucher!

So will Miss “Shopping for the Right District” end up running where she actually lives? I don’t know. Still, it would be nice to see Lynn run for office representing a place where she actually resides.

Part Four: The Candidate

Oh yes, and take a look at this, why dont you? No, Ron isn’t trying to take a jab at John Kerry. He’s just talking about how much the Daily Kos community contributes to Democratic victory. Go ahead and take another look at Ron’s latest Daily Kos diary… You might start thinking differently about “those crazy bloggers”.

Part Five: And Finally…

Here’s another rule that Dirty Gary broke! Cheese louise, he wore a hawaiian shirt inside the halls of Congress?! Not only does he have no respect for decorum, but he doesn’t even have any good taste! ; )

Gary Miller’s lack of judgment

It seems that Rep. Gary Miller (R-CA) not only has judgment problems when it comes to his ethics, but also in the way he dresses on the Hill. On Monday, he apparently wore slippers and a Hawaiian shirt in the Captiol while conducting business.

 Granted, it is summer, when dress codes tend to get a little looser in the face of Washington's starched-shirt- wilting heat. But a slipper-clad Rep. Gary Miller (R-Calif.) apparently took the summer casual look a little too far and he got a dressing down for, well, dressing down!

ROLL CALL reports: During a House vote at about 7:30 p.m. on Monday, Miller strode onto the floor wearing a look better suited to a backyard cookout than the House chamber: a loose-fitting Hawaiian shirt, linen pants and slippers.

The sartorial faux pas even prompted Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-Texas), who was presiding over the chamber at the time, to weigh in: “The chair must remind Members that the proper standard of dress in the chamber is business attire, which includes both coat and tie for gentlemen.”

http://www.rollcall.com/issues/53_12/hoh/19541-1.html

 

 

Take Your Final Chance for DFA Campaign Academy!

(Cross-posted at The Liberal OC and Daily Kos)

Something amazing is happening tomorrow. DFA Campaign Academy is coming to Southern California! Tomorrow, progressive activists from all over Southern California will be coming to Orange County to learn how to win next year and in future elections. And guess what? All of us activists will be learning from the experts who know a thing or two on how to win.

Oh, and here's some more good news. Even though registration for attendance is already at 160 people, DFA is still accepting sign-ups for tomorrow! That's right, even if you haven't signed up yet, you can still come to DFA Training! So what's happening at DFA Training? Follow me after the flip for more…

So what’s in store for this weekend? Well, why not look at the curriculum to find out?! Learn how to fundraise! Learn how to target voters in your neighborhood with new and imporved online tools ready for you to start using! Learn how to use communicate your message better in your local area! Take advantage of this opportunity to learn all this and more this weekend!

OK, so why exactly is this important? Why should we learn all these campaign stuff, especially if we’re not in an area where progressives can win? Actually, that’s why we need to all go to the training this weekend! For far too long, many Democrats have written off areas like Orange County and the Inland Empire as “hopelessly Republican”. But you know what? We can change this!

Ron Shepston may already be doing this as he’s getting his campaign started in the 42nd Congressional District. Now what could possibly be a better way for all of us in Southern California to help Ron out than to go to DFA Campaign Academy and learn how we can convince our neighbors in CA-42 to support Ron? Ron will need people to can take a progressive message, and communicate it in a way that catches the attention of people who may not know much about politics. Ron will need people to help him raise money. Ron will need plenty of help from us if we want to see him win next year, so let’s learn how we can make that happen this weekend!

OK, so you’re nowhere near Orange County? And you don’t live near the 42nd District? That’s fine. Please come anyways, as it’s also important that you learn how to get Democrats elected and promote the progressive agenda in your neighborhood! Perhaps if you sign up now, you can also still catch a hotel room available if you need one. It’s important that we build up Democratic infrastructure everywhere, so let’s get started this weekend! Let’s go to the training and learn what we need to know to gegin building that infrastructure we need to win!

So who’s with me on this? I’ve already signed up for the training. Have you? Well then, you can still sign up! The training’s only $70… That includes lunch for both days and all the workshops you want inside! Oh yes, and this is your chance to meet some of the finest progressive Democrats in the entire region. So what are you waiting for? Sign up to come tomorrow and join the fun! ;-)

CA-42: The Lay Of The Land

It’s great that the netroots candidacy of Ron Shepston for Congress is getting so much attention.  His race against the unfathomably corrupt Gary Miller represents a progressive hope and a decided alternative, and people are so excited that, at press time, he’s raised over $5,300 dollars through ActBlue in just a couple days.

Superlative.  Outstanding.  Fantastic.

Now let’s really look at what he’s getting into.  The campaign has asked me to contribute a guest column to the rollout providing the lay of the land.  We’ll start with the bad news and move slowly into the good.

Previous diaries in the CA-42 campaign rollout series:
7/15: thereisnospoon’s CA-42: A Kossack is running for Congress
7/16: atdnext’s CA-42: The Case Against Dirty Gary Miller
7/17: Major Danby’s CA-42: I’m managing a netroots U.S. House campaign
7/18: CanYouBeAngryAndStillDream’s CA-42: Hi, I’m Ron Shepston and I’m running for Congress
7/19: hekebolos’s CA-42: A Netroots campaign– politics the way it should be.

Here is a map of the 42nd District of California:

As you can see, it covers three counties, starting in San Bernardino County at Chino, moving into LA County with Whittier and Diamond Bar, and then Orange County with Brea and La Habra, snaking all the way down to grab Mission Viejo in the southern portion of the county.  Seems like a strange shape, doesn’t it?  It should.  California’s districts were gerrymandered to the extreme for incumbent protection after the 2000 Census.  Democrats and Republicans made the deal to lock in a set number of seats.  Between the 2000 Election and the 2002 Election, Miller gained 8 points from his challenger because the district was made more Republican.

Now, it doesn’t always work: Richard Pombo was forced out of office by Jerry McNerney last year.  But he is literally the ONLY incumbent to be deposed since this Congressional map was put into place.  More on McNerney later.

So this is a very Republican seat. George W. Bush beat Kerry 62%-38% in 2004, and Gore by 58%-38% in 2000 (when it was more Democratic). The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of R +10 (meaning the district votes 10 points more Republican that the nation at large).  Only a few California districts are higher.  It’d be great to have a metric of Gary Miller’s most recent election, but in 2006 he was one of only 10 Republicans to run unopposed.  So we have to go back to 2004 and 2002 to look at results in this newly configured district.  They ain’t pretty.

United States House election, 2004: California District 42
Republican Gary Miller 167,632 68.2
Democratic Lewis Myers 78,393 31.8

United States House election, 2002: California District 42
Republican Gary Miller 95,737 67.6 +8.6
Democratic Richard Waldron 41,306 29.2 -8.2

So since this district has had its current configuration, Gary Miller’s opponent has never received more than 31.8% of the vote.  We’ll call that Ron’s baseline of support, since I’m not sure Lewis Myers or Richard Waldron offered up anything but token opposition.  The question is where to get the other 19%.

Let’s look at the demographics of the district (linked from Gary Miller’s House website!  Thanks Gary!  You can return to your regularly scheduled ripping off of America now!).

About 57.5% of the district is in Orange County, including the largest population center, Mission Viejo (no wonder they snuck it into the district).  The registration edge here is 55-27 Republican, and no area has a Democratic advantage (La Habra is the closest, at 45-37, which stands to reason because it’s close to the LA County part of the district).  The area of the OC in the district is 20% Latino and about 11% Asian.

LA County needs to be Shepston Country.  The registration edge here is lower (43R, 36D), and Rowland Heights is actually plurality-Democratic.  Of course, it’s only 21% of the district.  It’s heavily Asian (40%) and Latino (23%).  I don’t know if sprawl goes out this far and if these are Los Angeles bedroom communities for those priced out of the more expensive areas, but it’s certainly possible.

Finally, San Bernardino County is the final 21.5% of the district, and it’s also closer (45R, 38D).  In Chino there’s a 42%-41% advantage for Democratic registration.  The Latino population is strong out here; 37%.

The final numbers for the district are about 50% registration total, with a 21-point registration advantage for Republicans (51R, 30D).  The district is very diverse, 44% nonwhite (23.8% Latino, 17.5% Asian, 3.4% African-American).

So the key would appear to be to raise registration rates in Democratic areas, bring in big numbers in LA and San Bernardino County, and make sure the Latino vote turns out.  A tall order.  And did I mention that Gary Miller has $800,000 Cash on Hand after raising $137,000 in the most recent quarter?

But there’s more of the story to be told, points that argue in Shepston’s favor, and in favor of a strong challenge in a district some would call unwinnable.

CORRUPTION: This was considered the number one issue according to exit polls in 2006.  Miller hasn’t been tested on this, since the revelations about his dirty dealings didn’t come out until the 2006 election, when he was unopposed.  And if anything, they’ve grown worse since then.  So there is a case to be made that voters will reject someone who appears to be doing the business of profit-taking instead of legislating.

IRAQ: Gary Miller has voted in lockstep with the President on an issue that has scant support in the country, even in a district as red as this.  I assume that the netroots team running this race will not run away from the issue of Iraq as many consultants have the knee-jerk reaction to do.

THE ALBATROSS: Ron Brownstein makes the case:

Unpopular departing presidents, though, have consistently undercut their party in the next election. Democrats lost the White House in 1952 and 1968 after Harry Truman and Lyndon Johnson saw their approval ratings plummet below 50%. Likewise, in the era before polling, the opposition party won the White House when deeply embattled presidents left office after the elections of 1920 (Woodrow Wilson), 1896 (Grover Cleveland), 1860 (James Buchanan) and 1852 (Millard Fillmore). The White House also changed partisan control when weakened presidents stepped down in 1844 and 1884. Only in 1856 and 1876 did this pattern bend, when the parties of troubled presidents Franklin Pierce and Ulysses S. Grant held the White House upon their departure […]

It’s true that Republicans in 2008 should perform slightly better among voters who disapprove of the president than George H.W. Bush and Gore did, because their nominee, unlike those men, won’t be the retiring president’s vice president. But another pattern underscores how hard the challenge will remain: On average, 80% of voters who disapproved of a president’s performance have voted against his party’s candidates even in House races since 1986, according to the respected University of Michigan post-election polls. When a president takes on water, in other words, everyone in his party flounders.

This tracks with the idea that “there is no safe district” in the post-Bush era, and that any partisan numbers over the past several years are somewhat irrelevant to the landscape today.

DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS: Getting the Latino vote out in a year where the Republicans have done absolutely everything to present themselves as the biggest brown-haters on the block is crucial.  You don’t have to have that long a memory to remember the anti-immigrant Prop. 187 fights out here in California, which set back Republicans to this day.  So making sure there’s a high turnout among the substantial Latino base would seem to me to be a key.  And I would gather than even more are in the district now, being priced out of LA County.

STOPPING THE GRAVY TRAIN: Gary Miller has been using his money gained in fundraising from his rich buddies to reward Republicans in close races:

Miller’s expenditures are listed at OpenSecrets, and you can see that he spent his money (in 2006) enriching the coffers of Republican candidates in close races all over the country.  He didn’t need the ill-begotten money for himself, so he gave it to his most endangered colleagues.  A list:

Anne Northrup $1,000
Barbara Cubin $1,000
Deborah Pryce $1,000
Dave Reichert $1,000
Geoff Davis $1,000
JD Hayworth $1,000
Jim Gerlach $1,000
Keith Butler (MI Senate challenger) $1,000
Joe Knollenberg $2,000
Mary Bono $1,000
Mike Fitzpatrick $1,000
Mike Sodrel $1,000
Rob Simmons $1,000
Thelma Drake $1,000

That’s 14 candidates to the tune of $15,000.  A lot of those Republicans lost, but the recipient of the biggest expenditure from Miller’s campaign was the NRCC, the committee dedicated to re-electing Congressional Republicans, which sent mailers and put up attack ads and made robocalls all over the country.  They benefited from $112,000 from one Gary Miller.  All of the sleazy developer money he’s received over the years helped re-elect some of the worst Congressmen in the country by the skin of their teeth.  That’s $112,000 we wouldn’t be likely to see in the NRCC’s coffers if Miller were actually challenged and forced to run a campaign.

It’s not like Miller is going to run out of money any time soon; he’s rich beyond reason and can self-fund.  But he wouldn’t be as likely to fund others if challenged.

In conclusion, there are many signs out there that Ron Shepston does have the opportunity to be competitive and offer the voters in the 42nd a real alternative.  The best comparisons we can use for California are the aforementioned Jerry McNerney in CA-11, and Charlie Brown in CA-04.  Both went up against corrupt politicians in red areas.  Both excited grassroots and netroots activists to donate to and work on the campaigns.  Both engaged in bottom-up campaigning, with the big dollar money not coming in until later.  And despite the warped political landscape and the partisan gerrymander, McNerney is a Congressman and Charlie Brown is about to join him.  If he’s diligent and bold and unyielding, Ron Shepston can do the same thing.

I Nominate Ron Shepston for Calitics Endorsement

(And if you’re in Southern California, YOU can also meet Ron Shepston at EITHER ORANGE COUNTY DRINKING LIBERALLY TONIGHT! Come to Rancho Santa Margarita at 7:00 PM and/or Santa Ana at 9:00 PM tonight, and meet the candidate! : ) – promoted by Andrew Davey (atdleft))

Yesterday, if you made your way to DailyKos, The Liberal OC, or right here to Calitics, you probably got the word that the blogosphere’s own Ron Shepston is running for Congress in California’s 42nd district against Dirty Gary Miller.  His campaign is being managed by DailyKos and Calitics poster Greg Diamond (aka Major Danby), and as you can see from his rollout yesterday Shepston’s starting out on the right foot.  He’s already hit on many of what I consider to be the most important elements of a campaign that’s insurgent and forward-thinking without abandoning everything good about traditional values and expectations.  So, for these and the other reasons I’ll dig into on flip, and in keeping with the newly established procedure for gaining Calitics endorsement, I nominate Ron Shepston to join Charlie Brown, Jerry McNerney and Mark Leno as an official Calitics Endorsed Candidate for 2008.

The Calitics endorsement process going forward will work like this (I’m sure with slight tweaks as necessary):

– A candidate can be nominated via diary by anyone, preferably with a bit of background on the candidate and why they would be deserving of consideration.  This diary will also be used as an opportunity for the Calitics community to pose questions for the candidate which would be relevant to determining if an endorsement is deserved.

– After questions have been suggested, an interview will be arranged with a member of the Calitics team in which the candidate will have the chance to respond to your questions and expand on what you may already know about them and their candidacy.

– The interview will be posted on Calitics for review by the general community who can then vote up or down on an official endorsement.  The community’s vote will count for 50% of the total and the Calitics Editorial Board will make up the remaining 50%.  A nominated candidate will need 60% of the overall vote to receive an endorsement and a spot on the Calitics ActBlue Page.

Confusing enough for you? Great. Now back to Ron.  Here at Calitics, we’ve been fortunate to have Ron as a diarist and commenter for quite some time, and the discourse has been better for it.  His stated goals are generally the sort that, just a few years ago, might have seemed rather humble, but now are desperately important.  “Defend the Constitution and the rule of law – while we can” he said yesterday.  Fighting for Democratic principles.  And no, it doesn’t hurt that he’s drawn on a number of impressive bloggers (thereisnospoon, Hekebolos, occams hatchet, clammyc, OrangeClouds115, atdnext, Shockwave, dday, vernonlee, theKK) to get the campaign rolling.

So this is our chance to get him talking about the issues.  I’ll be in Orange County tonight on a social call, and again over the weekend at which time, if we’ve gotten questions, I can hopefully sit Ron down and ask him your questions.  So how about it Calitics? The floor is open to you, ask whatever you need to ask in order to feel comfortable giving your endorsement.

CA-42: I’m managing a netroots U.S. House campaign

(OMG, THIS IS HUGE!!!! Oh yes, and you can see this at Daily Kos as well! : ) – promoted by atdleft)

Blogging is largely about talking the talk – and that’s important.  This diary is about walking the walk.

A few months ago, another member of this community and I made a pair of expensive decisions — decisions to do what we felt we were obligated to do as patriotic Americans.  He — the good-looking, likable, established-in-the-community one — decided to run for Congress if I would manage his campaign full-time.  And I agreed to manage his campaign (at a steep discount from standard “Democratic consultant” rates) if it would be more than a token run.

A brain trust of Southern Californian bloggers – people like thereisnospoon, hekebolos, Shockwave, OrangeClouds115, occams hatchet, dday, atdleft, vernonlee, honorary Californian clammyc, and many others – were there at the beginning and have provided support and sage advice since.  Others have joined the train since then.  Tomorrow at 9 a.m. PDT, with the announcement of the name and handle of the nominee, the train leaves the station.

We want you on that train with us.  We’re ready to crash that train right through the gates of Congress – and you know that that means we’re going to make a lot of noise.

Previous diaries in the CA-42 campaign rollout series:

7/15: thereisnospoon’s CA-42: A Kossack is running for Congress
7/16: atdnext’s CA-42: The Case Against Dirty Gary Miller

*1. The 435-district strategy*

In graduate school, I studied Social Psychology: attitudes, opinion, group dynamics, emotion – that sort of thing.  I then moved into teaching in Political Science at the University of Illinois.  With all that training behind me, I could explain to you very patiently and extensively why microeconomics dictated that the Democratic strategy — picking out just the swing states and the swing districts and making a stand there in hopes of running the table and winning an election — was not only /right/, but /inevitable/.

In 2004, I started reading the blogs — and I realized that I was wrong.  More than that – almost /everyone/ in the Democratic Party was wrong.  Jerome Armstrong and Markos explain this in /Crashing the Gate/, but I’ll summarize it here: if you don’t run candidates everywhere, (1) you can’t take advantage when a disaster hits your opponent; (2) you leave people in those communities socially and politically isolated, unlikely to develop informed beliefs about politics even when they move to competitive areas, or (even worse) at the mercy of Fox News; (3) you leave time and money on the table, because the time and money such people have to offer largely doesn’t overlap with that available to you elsewhere; (4) you allow the opposing party to concentrate its money on only a few races, needing only a few victories in decisive races to win, and (5) you look cowardly and unimpressive to people who value strength and decisiveness in their leaders.

Jerome and Markos and Howard Dean were right.  2006 is evidence for it.  Some of the record 425 (out of 435) districts where we had candidates were ones where “we couldn’t win” — and yet we did!

Here in Orange County, CA, my boyhood home, we have the second-largest concentration of Democrats in the state – far exceeded, of course, by the number of Republicans.  The 50-state strategy – in California, the 53-Congressional District strategy – says that you /have/ to run here.  But no one was on the ballot against Gary Miller in 2006 – one of only ten districts where the Democratic Party did not offer an opponent.  That meant, among other things, that no one could capitalize on Miller’s ethical problems when they came out.

Furthermore, no established Democrat in any part of CA-42 – a district spanning parts of Orange, Los Angeles, and San Bernardino counties, stretching from Whittier College in the northwest to Chino Airport in the northeast, down through Yorba Linda and Anaheim Hills though Cleveland National Forest down to Saddleback College in Mission Viejo – was stepping forward to run against the ethically challenged Republican incumbent Gary Miller.  (“Dirty Gary,” as atdnext calls him, must never, ever be confused with the excellent California Congressional Democrat, George Miller!)  Everyone knows that it has to be done – the DCCC has actually /targeted/ Miller for opposition (hat tip to dday, who has been all over the Miller tales)– but talks with party officials in the area indicated that no current Democratic officeholder was likely to run.

Whoever would run against the vulnerable incumbent Gary Miller, therefore, would have to be someone from outside, someone who could bring something new and powerful to the table.  A personal fortune would be nice, but no one with one to spend could be found.  In the absence of that, would netroots backing be nice enough?  Maybe it would.

So the candidate and I made our agreement.  I offer my story below, because maybe parts of it will resonate with your experiences and help convey why I think that 2008 is a year to suspend business as usual and make sacrifices – yes, eventually I’m going to ask you for money – for the good of the nation.  You can skip down to part 3 if you’d prefer without missing much.

*2. How I came to manage a campaign*

A year ago, I was ready to leave the country for at least a few years if the Democrats did not capture at least one house of Congress in the 2006 election.  This was not for of patriotism, but for lack of hope: if Democrats could not do well /last year/, with the political winds so strongly at our back, then I assumed that the most severe cynics were right and the system was too firmly rigged against us.  One could do nothing but wait for the system to collapse under the weight of BushCo misdeeds and then make the case for change from the outside, as political exiles have sometimes had to do throughout history.

I wanted to be able to tell myself and others that I had done everything I could to save the country before taking such a step.  So I left work in New York to help manage Jack Carter’s gutty but outgunned campaign for Senate in Nevada.  I was supposed to handle the research and internet organizing tasks, but most of the time ended up being involved in the “meat space” side of things, because those demands were more pressing.  Working on that campaign gave me a good sense of what running an Internet-based campaign would really mean, and what things can go right and can go wrong in any campaign.  Some of those lessons were harsh – but they were learned.

As it turned out, the Democrats swept Congress in 2006.  I wasn’t prepared for that; I had made no plans for what to do after the Carter campaign ended other than renewing my passport.  I thought about returning to the practice of law right away, but I don’t think that the nation is out of the woods yet politically.  This is still a time of crisis, one that still cries out for extraordinary measures and strong individual responses to the perfidy of the Bush Administration.  We still need to fight like our nation depends on it.  So, rather than returning to work, I’ll spend the next 15-1/2 months managing the first homegrown netroots campaign for federal office.

In light of the Democrats’ success last November, after leaving Las Vegas I had planned to some time spent decompressing in California and then go to Oregon to work to take out Gordon Smith.  Then, last January, I met the candidate you’ll meet tomorrow.  And before long I said to myself: to hell with caution and prudence – we’ve /got/ to do this.

I hope that you’ll say the same.

*3. What we’re about:*

Running a campaign is – try not to think of Bush saying this in the 2004 debates as you read this – hard work, as my experiences with the gutty but outgunned Carter campaign taught me.  But at base it’s an exercise in fundraising, management, and persuasion, much like other businesses.  We have 15-1/2 months left before the election; while even more time would have been better, that’s enough time to take a good swing at this.  One thing I learned in Nevada was that if you’re going to be doing “meat space” campaign management (as I was unexpectedly called on to do), you had better have someone else devoted to managing your online volunteers.  And I also learned that some of the best help can come from people from all over the country.  So I will be calling on you, on the individually good and collectively great members of this community, to help shape a new kind of campaign.  It doesn’t matter where you live.  You can be part of this campaign.

This is the first-ever conception-to-execution viable netroots campaign for federal office.  It won’t be the last, but it will always be the first.  As a distributed model of organization, as something that capitalizes on the strengths of our party and our movement, and (not least) as something being organized in more than the two months we had for the Carter campaign, it’s something that ought to scare the hell out of people who like their citizens docile and confused.

We want to win, but we also want to scare our opponents and inspire our supporters enough to change politics for the better.  Our announcement isn’t until tomorrow, but you should already know where your credit cards or checkbook are – and your calendar, if you’re willing to volunteer.  Since a few already figured out and published the name of the candidate, though not the handle, you can go to the ActBlue page if you’d like to make a contribution before knowing /which/ blogger it is that will receive it.  (Talk about a leap of faith!  But when you find out that name tomorrow, you’ll want to make /another/ contribution!)

*4. The First Laplander*

I’ve been telling people in the party and the grassroots that being the first homegrown netroots candidate to run for federal office is a bit like being the first candidate to run from a previously politically dormant ethnic group – let’s say, oh, Laplanders.  (And no offense intended to any Sami People reading this — we all know how well-connected Finland is — your day will come.)  The first Laplander who runs for Congress will inspire pride and enthusiasm and support from the Lapland community, because it is a way of putting that community on the map and showing that is has /arrived/.

No one has appointed our candidate to be the first netroots candidate to run for federal office, but I hope and expect that the pride of this community will be no less than when any community sees “one of its own” take such a step.  We have disagreements here, sure – I’ve been known to take part in them from time to time – but they are mostly around the margins.  Our candidate believes in:

* restoring the Constitution and rule of law by reining in the Imperial Presidency
* removing our troops from Iraq and concentrating our foreign policy on fighting terrorism, poverty, and human rights abuses
* reverting to the fiscal sanity and responsibility that this Administration squandered and dedicating the government to helping people avoid the catastrophes that come from lost health care and pension protection
* respecting facts rather than convenient wishes when it comes to federal policy in areas such as the environment, energy, education, and health
* refusing to use the power of office to enrich oneself and one’s friends at the expense of the public good

And our opponent believes in /none of those things/.  This is a netroots kind of race — a fight to make us all rightfully proud.

We will walk the walk between now and November 4, 2008.  We will take the frustration and disgust that so many of us feel and hammer it into a message of hope and resolve.

Tune in tomorrow: politics will never be the same.  We in the netroots made history in 2006 – and we’re going to make even more history in 2008.

Please note: The candidate intends to post tomorrow, July 18, at noon EDT/9 a.m. PDT.

CA-42: The Case Against Dirty Gary Miller

(Cross-posted at The Liberal OC and Trash Dirty Gary)

Gary Miller is corrupt. We know that. But why should we be working to unseat him? Why should we invest our resources in a “safe red district” and try to turn it blue next year? Why should we think we have a chance to win in the 42nd Congressional District?

The best way to answer this question is to answer two other questions. Why should we allow such a corrupt individual to stay in office? And what has Gary Miller done for his constituents that has earned him the privilege of earning our votes for reelection? Once we figure out these answers, we can answer those other questions.

You may be surprised by these answers, so follow me after the flip for more…

Well, let's start by answering the corruption question. He'll skirt the law and evade paying his taxes in order to enrich himself on the taxpayers' dime. Now how's that for someone who's supposed to be such a better patriot than those “America-hating Defeatocrats”?

Oh, and who is Gary Miller really working for in Congress? Looking at all the earmarks he's put into legislation and where he's directing these federal funds, the answer is quite clear. He's bought and paid for by the Lewis Group, a real estate development company in Upland. Whatever the Lewis Group wants, Gary Miller delivers… Even if it calls for money spent in Victorville, which is nowhere near the district! Now why would Gary Miller direct federal funds to one interchange in Victorville? Oh yes, that's right… The Lewis Group had a new development right off the 15 in Victorville!

And oh my, look how rewarding all this work has been for Dirty Gary Miller! Look how the Lewis Group has paid him back for all his service. How precious. But you know what? Gary Miller may focus on what's best for his bottom line and the Lewis Group's bottom line, but he's not taking care of what's best for the voters of his own district.

So when did Dirty Gary Miller forget why he's supposed to be in Congress? Doesn't he remember that he's supposed to serve the voters who send him to Washington to represent their interests? Now is it in their interest that Gary Miller abuse “eminent domain land sales” in order to avoid paying the taxes that provide for our national security, our transportation infrastructure, our schools, our parks, and so much more? Is it in their interest that Gary Miller ignore the local needs of the district in order to deliver the desires of out-of-district developers?

What about traffic relief on our freeways? What about helping out our schools in a way that doesn't allow the federal government to take over our schools? What about doing something about the coming climate catastrophe that may not only hurt our businesses, but threaten our very lives? What about ending this failed war in Iraq that has claimed so many of our brave soldiers' lives, and all for our troops to be caught in the midst of someone else's civil war? These are issues that the people in the 42nd District care about, yet these are the issues that Gary Miller ignores as he misuses his power to enrich himself and his developer friends.

So what can be done about this? We can tell all our family, friends, and neighbors about how Gary Miller isn't serving us. I'm doing my part on Trash Dirty Gary, a local blog dedicated to exposing Gary Miller's dirty record AND letting local voters know that we have a better option. Oh yes, and I'll also be uncovering Gary Miller's dirt AND talking about this better option over at The Liberal OC.

OK, so what is this better option that voters have in the 42nd? We can replace Gary Miller with someone who actually wants to serve us! There's an election next year, and Dirty Gary thinks he'll get an easy ride, as he's in a “Safe Republican District”. But Gary Miller has offended Republicans, Democrats, AND Independents in the district by ignoring our local needs while he enriches himself at taxpayers' expense. And if the Democrats in Washington think that Dirty Gary can't get away with his high crimes against the voters of the 42nd Congressional District, why should we?

And guess what! That's where YOU come in. Yesterday, you found out that a blogger will be challenging Dirty Gary in the 42nd. Tomorrow, you'll meet the campaign manager for this special candidate. And on Wednesday, you'll meet this very candidate. And right now, all I can tell you is that this candidate lives in the district, and this candidate actually cares about what's best for the people in this district.

So until then, I rest my case. Gary Miller is guilty of being a corrupt crook who has failed the voters of the 42nd District. And I think we can all take care of his sentence by doing what we can to help this campaign to restore honor and integrity to our Congressional Office! : )

CA-42: A Blogger is Running for Congress

(OMG, I can hardly wait for the 18th! : ) – promoted by atdleft)

It is a rare privilege to be present at the creation of something extraordinary–but it is an even rarer priviliege to be the first to announce that creation to the public.  Today, I am greatly honored to introduce to the netroots community and the world the creation of a new kind of campaign–a campaign of bloggers and onine activists, run by bloggers and online activists, managed by managed by online activists, and with a homegrown blogger as its candidate.

And it’s not just any campaign: it’s a campaign for Congress.  It’s a campaign against one of the most corrupt and reactionary Republicans on Capitol Hill (which is really saying something).  It’s a campaign that, until a few short months ago, had no credible Democratic candidate to offer–until that is, someone stepped forward to take on the challenge.  And that someone turned out to be one of us.

It is often said that great things come from small beginnings.  The tiny seeds of this campaign were first planted several months ago at an unassuming, convivial gathering at Canter’s Deli in Los Angeles’ famed Miracle Mile district.  Many of Southern California’s most prominent Kossacks had gathered to celebrate the arrival of our good friend clammyc, who was in town on a business trip.  Out of that gathering came a decision to do more than just blogging and traditional activism; we decided that we needed to work together–as a team–to support a candidate for Congress.  A candidate who would reflect the interests and ethos of the progressive netroots.

Little did we know, on that festive evening, that that candidate would be one of us there in that room.

Fast forward to today, and what had been a twinkle in our eyes is now a reality–complete with a blogger candidate, a blogger campaign manager, and an entire blogger brain trust full of some of the DailyKos community’s best and brightest from Southern California and beyond.  The ActBlue page is ready, the local grassroots and insiders behind us, and every structure in place.  There is no credible primary challenger looming, and the Republican incumbent is, shall we say, more than a little vulnerable.  Following in the footsteps of Dailykos’ own inimitable NYBri, we have the opportunity to take a giant leap for the Netroots and for progressives all across America.

Unfortunately, I can’t give you the name of the candidate just yet.  I’ve been asked by the campaign–whose identity is being kept secret until the official announcement is made here on July 18 (so if you know the secret, keep quiet until then!)–to begin the online rollout for the campaign right here on Daily Kos where it all began.

Tomorrow, our own atdleft is going to introduce you to our ethically-challenged (not to mention legally challenged!) opponent in this race, Gary Miller.  atdnext will also introduce the blog he already has up and running, cataloging Gary Miller’s abuses of ethics, law and common decency. 

On Tuesday the 17th, our own Campaign Manager will reveal himself.

And then on Wednesday the 18th, you’ll hear from our Candidate.

From then until the beginning of the YearlyKos convention, many of us who are supporting the campaign in a variety of roles–including a lot of names you’ll recognize instantly–will be writing about different aspects of the campaign: who we are, what we are doing, why we believe in the candidate, the makeup of the district, and why we can–and will–win this race.  We’ll be keeping you informed about every facet of our campaign–because when it comes down to it, this is your campaign, made possible only because this amazing community.

Today, though, I want to celebrate a little bit.  What we have undertaken here is nothing less than “Crashing the Gate” in direct action.  It is just one part of a great leap forward being made all across the progressive netroots to expand our efforts into an honest-to-goodness movement rivaling that of the post-Goldwater conservatives.

This campaign is, simply put, an unprecedented step for the netroots.  We’ve had announced candidates who have come to large community blogs for support–from Presidential candidates like John Kerry and John Edwards to Congressional candidates like Eric Massa, John Laesch and Larry Kissell to many candidates for state, local, and party office.  We have one longtime Kossack, ben masel, who has run a protest campaign for U.S. Senate, and another, our beloved Brian Keeler, who has run a credible campaign for the New York State House and is fighting the good fight again in ’08.

But this is without parallel: we have never had a “homegrown” blogger candidate.  We have never had a netroots participant–someone well-known who has literally been around for years on DailyKos–run for federal office.  We have never had a blogger running not just up against the gates as a protest candidate, but straight through them with the backing of the local Democratic Party.  And we have certainly never had a homegrown blogger running against a Congressman who, despite his conservative district, is being targeted by the DCCC and is regularly named as among the most vulnerable due to scandal.

Perhaps just as importantly, we have never before had a campaign tapping the special abilities and creative talents of netroots activists from top to bottom, from campaign management to strategy to research to outreach to fundraising.  This is truly people-powered politics at its finest: a gathering of some of the best progressive talent available, made possible only by the organizing power of the blogs and the extraordinary energy of this vibrant community.  It’s going to be a hard, long struggle of a campaign–but if experience shows anything over the last many years, it is that there is literally nothing that this community cannot accomplish politically when we put our heads together to make this great country accountable to the people once again.

So watch for the diaries over the next few days: atdnext tomorrow the 16th; the campaign manager on the 17th; the Candidate on the 18th; and more beyond that.  And let us turn this small beginning into a momentous journey for democracy, people-powered politics, progressives and netroots enthusiasts nationwide.

CA-42: A Blogger is Running for Congress

It is a rare privilege to be present at the creation of something extraordinary–but it is an even rarer priviliege to be the first to announce that creation to the public.  Today, I am greatly honored to introduce to the netroots community and the world the creation of a new kind of campaign–a campaign of bloggers and onine activists, run by bloggers and online activists, managed by managed by online activists, and with a homegrown blogger as its candidate.

And it’s not just any campaign: it’s a campaign for Congress.  It’s a campaign against one of the most corrupt and reactionary Republicans on Capitol Hill (which is really saying something).  It’s a campaign that, until a few short months ago, had no credible Democratic candidate to offer–until that is, someone stepped forward to take on the challenge.  And that someone turned out to be one of us.

It is often said that great things come from small beginnings.  The tiny seeds of this campaign were first planted several months ago at an unassuming, convivial gathering at Canter’s Deli in Los Angeles’ famed Miracle Mile district.  Many of Southern California’s most prominent Kossacks had gathered to celebrate the arrival of our good friend clammyc, who was in town on a business trip.  Out of that gathering came a decision to do more than just blogging and traditional activism; we decided that we needed to work together–as a team–to support a candidate for Congress.  A candidate who would reflect the interests and ethos of the progressive netroots.

Little did we know, on that festive evening, that that candidate would be one of us there in that room.

Fast forward to today, and what had been a twinkle in our eyes is now a reality–complete with a blogger candidate, a blogger campaign manager, and an entire blogger brain trust full of some of the DailyKos community’s best and brightest from Southern California and beyond.  The ActBlue page is ready, the local grassroots and insiders behind us, and every structure in place.  There is no credible primary challenger looming, and the Republican incumbent is, shall we say, more than a little vulnerable.  Following in the footsteps of Dailykos’ own inimitable NYBri, we have the opportunity to take a giant leap for the Netroots and for progressives all across America.

Unfortunately, I can’t give you the name of the candidate just yet.  I’ve been asked by the campaign–whose identity is being kept secret until the official announcement is made here on July 18 (so if you know the secret, keep quiet until then!)–to begin the online rollout for the campaign right here on Daily Kos where it all began.

Tomorrow, our own atdleft is going to introduce you to our ethically-challenged (not to mention legally challenged!) opponent in this race, Gary Miller.  atdnext will also introduce the blog he already has up and running, cataloging Gary Miller’s abuses of ethics, law and common decency. 

On Tuesday the 17th, our own Campaign Manager will reveal himself.

And then on Wednesday the 18th, you’ll hear from our Candidate.

From then until the beginning of the YearlyKos convention, many of us who are supporting the campaign in a variety of roles–including a lot of names you’ll recognize instantly–will be writing about different aspects of the campaign: who we are, what we are doing, why we believe in the candidate, the makeup of the district, and why we can–and will–win this race.  We’ll be keeping you informed about every facet of our campaign–because when it comes down to it, this is your campaign, made possible only because this amazing community.

Today, though, I want to celebrate a little bit.  What we have undertaken here is nothing less than “Crashing the Gate” in direct action.  It is just one part of a great leap forward being made all across the progressive netroots to expand our efforts into an honest-to-goodness movement rivaling that of the post-Goldwater conservatives.

This campaign is, simply put, an unprecedented step for the netroots.  We’ve had announced candidates who have come to large community blogs for support–from Presidential candidates like John Kerry and John Edwards to Congressional candidates like Eric Massa, John Laesch and Larry Kissell to many candidates for state, local, and party office.  We have one longtime Kossack, ben masel, who has run a protest campaign for U.S. Senate, and another, our beloved Brian Keeler, who has run a credible campaign for the New York State House and is fighting the good fight again in ’08.

But this is without parallel: we have never had a “homegrown” blogger candidate.  We have never had a netroots participant–someone well-known who has literally been around for years on DailyKos–run for federal office.  We have never had a blogger running not just up against the gates as a protest candidate, but straight through them with the backing of the local Democratic Party.  And we have certainly never had a homegrown blogger running against a Congressman who, despite his conservative district, is being targeted by the DCCC and is regularly named as among the most vulnerable due to scandal.

Perhaps just as importantly, we have never before had a campaign tapping the special abilities and creative talents of netroots activists from top to bottom, from campaign management to strategy to research to outreach to fundraising.  This is truly people-powered politics at its finest: a gathering of some of the best progressive talent available, made possible only by the organizing power of the blogs and the extraordinary energy of this vibrant community.  It’s going to be a hard, long struggle of a campaign–but if experience shows anything over the last many years, it is that there is literally nothing that this community cannot accomplish politically when we put our heads together to make this great country accountable to the people once again.

So watch for the diaries over the next few days: atdnext tomorrow the 16th; the campaign manager on the 17th; the Candidate on the 18th; and more beyond that.  And let us turn this small beginning into a momentous journey for democracy, people-powered politics, progressives and netroots enthusiasts nationwide.

CA House Races Roundup – July 2007

With 16 months to go before Election Day, some Democratic challengers are getting a little more visible in their efforts to unseat Republican incumbents.  I see good news at the very top of the target list, and elsewhere we’re still waiting to see who will run.  Let’s focus on the top 10 races where a Republican is currently serving, knowing that we are still going to have a fight in CA-11 to re-elect Jerry McNerney (although that probably won’t be against Guy Houston, who may be on trial for fraud at the time).

So let’s take a look at the top 10 challenges.  I’m going to rank them in order of most possible pickup, including their number from the last roundup.  I’m also adding the “Boxer number.”  Basically, seeing how Boxer fared in her 2004 re-election against Bill Jones in a particular district is a decent indicator of how partisan it is.  If I put “57,” that means Boxer received 57% of the vote.  Anything over 50, obviously, is good. (over)

1) CA-04 (Doolittle).  Last month: 1.  Boxer number: 40.  Everyone that Rep. John Doolittle has ever known or worked with is currently talking to the FBI.  The sense is that it’s just a matter of time.  His newfound antiwar stance didn’t translate into a vote for responsible redeployment yesterday; it was all talk.  Charlie Brown (who has a spiffy new website) has released a comprehensive national security plan that is a good read.  I have not seen him release any full Q2 fundraising numbers just yet, but given that he’s one of only two spotlighted candidates on Blue Majority, I’m sure they’ll be solid.  We do know that he raised over $45,000 on ActBlue with almost 1,000 contributors.  That’s significant.

2) CA-26 (Dreier).  Last month: 2.  Boxer number: 48.  The more I hear about this race, the more I like it.  I think this should be the number one target for Southern California progressives.  Dreier is lashed to Bush (and in his case Giuliani) like everybody else in the California caucus; but he’s got a swing district and a real challenger.  Russ Warner, who ran last time, announced that he raised around $100,000 in the 2nd quarter, and has over $150,000 cash on hand.  According to the press release, “Warner has more money on hand at this early stage of the campaign than all but one Democratic nominee has ever raised and spent against David Dreier in the entire general election since he was first elected to Congress in 1980.”  This account of Warner shows that he is getting local coverage, and the fact that he has the endorsement of Hilda Solis is a major coup.  That his son is serving a tour in Iraq right now adds an emotional appeal.

There is at least one other challenger who’s raising money at a decent clip.  Hoyt Hilsman also has $150,000 CoH after having loaned his campaign $100,000 personally.  Hilsman is an author and a professor.

3) CA-24 (Gallegly).  Last month: 3.  Boxer number: 47.  It’s still retirement watch for Elton Gallegly.  He has $800,000 in the bank, which would presume a run.  But he had $1.1 million in the bank two years ago, when he retired and then clumsily returned to the race.  We know at least 3 people are mounting a run against him; 2006 opponent Jill Martinez, 2004 opponent Brett Wagner, and my friend and fellow delegate Mary Pallant.  Richard Francis, a prominent lawyer, has also made a little noise about running.  So the sharks are circling and waiting to see what Gallegly will do.

4) CA-50 (Bilbray).  Last month: 5.  Boxer number: 48.  The fact that there are three legitimate challengers to Brian Bilbray shows that there is some Democratic activism within the district.  Our San Diego correspondent Lucas O’Connor has given us this account of Michael Wray’s efforts at outreach to Democrats.  John Lee Evans and Nick Leibham are also making the rounds in the district.  As for Brian Bilbray, we do know that he hates brown people and he bottles his own beer.  I don’t know if he’s committed a firing offense, though certainly there’s a pro-Bush voting record opponents can highlight.

5) CA-41 (Lewis).  Last month: 3.  Boxer number: 43.  There’s also a retirement watch of sorts here, as we all wait and see if Robert Novak’s report that Lewis won’t seek re-election is true.  We also learned this week that Lewis is dedicated to helping his constituents in Washington, DC, where he requested a $500,000 earmark for a Metro station that would be three blocks from his Capitol-area home.  That could be turned into a defining issue in an election.  There are rumblings that it would be best for Republicans to urge Lewis to retire, so of course they won’t do it.  There is still no word on whether attorney Tim Prince will jump into this race, at least that I’ve heard.

6) CA-44 (Calvert).  Last month: 8.  Boxer number: 45.  The next of the “corruption boys” of the GOP, Calvert is in trouble over a recent grand jury ruling that showed a city government agency illegally sold him and other investors a four-acre parcel of land a few years back.  He doesn’t seem deterred by it, and really the grand jury ruled against the government agency and not him.  This is absolutely a district where we should run someone strong.  A recent report showed that Riverside County is poised to become the second-largest in the state, behind only Los Angeles County.  Democrats need visibility there in a big way.  Defenders of Wildlife is running ads against Calvert, so they obviously see some vulnerabilities there.

7) CA-42 (Miller).  Last month: 6.  Boxer number: 41.  Gary Miller rounds out the GOP corruption boys.  It’s such a Republican seat that just making him spend money will be a win.  Not much to report this month.

8) CA-45 (Bono).  Last month: 8.  Boxer number: 49.  I would love to have more to say about this race, but sadly, I don’t.  She is apparently one of Washington’s most eligible bachelorettes.  That’s all I’ve got for ya.

9) CA-25 (McKeon).  Last month: 9.  Boxer number: 45.  McKeon, the ranking Democrat Republican on the Education and Labor Committee, railed against the recent passage of an increase in the Pell Grant to make college more affordable for our best an brightest.  Yeah, because that would be terrible.  I would love to see someone challenge this guy.

10) CA-52 (open seat).  Last month: 10.  Boxer number: 44.  Despite it being an open seat, I still don’t expect to see anyone beating Duncan Hunter’s son while he’s serving in Iraq.