All posts by Brian Leubitz

Jerry Brown Signs Several Budget Bills, Including Clean Vehicle Legislation

Gov. signs several budget bills over the weekend

by Brian Leubitz

The Governor took little time to sign a first big batch of bills after the Legislature ended session. Specifically, he signed seven budget bills on Saturday:

• AB 109 by Assemblymember Philip Y. Ting (D-San Francisco) – Budget Act of 2017.
• AB 129 by the Committee on Budget – Education finance.
• AB 130 by the Committee on Budget – Health and human services.
• AB 131 by the Committee on Budget – Taxation.
• AB 133 by the Committee on Budget – Cannabis Regulation.
• AB 134 by the Committee on Budget – Budget Act of 2017.
• AB 135 by the Committee on Budget – Transportation.

The Budget Acts do basically what you would expect of budget bills: appropriating money to one expense or another. But one part of AB 134 seems to be getting a lot of attention:

Up to $140,000,000 shall be used for the Clean Vehicle Rebate Project.
(1) The State Air Resources Board shall work with the Labor and Workforce Development Agency to develop procedures for certifying manufacturers of vehicles included in the Clean Vehicle Rebate Project as being fair and responsible in the treatment of their workers. It is the intent of the Legislature that beginning in 2018–19 fiscal year, the Labor Secretary shall first certify manufacturers as fair and responsible in the treatment of their workers before their vehicles are included in any rebate program funded with state funds.

Two things here: First, it takes cap and trade money and ships it off to help make electric and plug-in hybrid cars cheaper. I suppose I should issue some sort of trigger warning, as the cap and trade extension bill was controversial to put it mildly. The second point to that, and probably more interesting, was the labor provision put into that extension. (See my added emphasis in the quote above.)

TeslaThis has been getting a lot of attention as summary stories of the legislative session come out. Many of them are framing in this “unions are powerful” and win everything, which plainly is not true. Yet, clearly they win more they than they lose.

This provision is directed at Tesla, which as of yet, is mostly beating back attempts to organize their work force. The standard of “fair and responsible” seems a little open to interpretation, so how much this matters is an open question. Denying the incentive money to a California based company would certainly be a controversial decision, and Tesla has a backlog of Model 3 orders from across the country, but if the Labor Secretary is strict on that provision, it would certainly draw Elon Musk’s attention/ire.

Many more bills will be signed as we head into the October; even despite some setbacks (single payer to name one) this has been a very busy legislative year.

Governor and Legislature Agree on Sanctuary State Legislation

State pokes stick in the eye of Sessions, Trump, and their neo-nativist supporters

by Brian Leubitz

Palm Springs Sanctuary city rally (#0336a)Governor Brown doesn’t mind confronting the federal government. He’s shown that particularly in the climate change arena as he has become the de facto American leader taking on that global crisis. However, he also likes to tread carefully.

And that was his hangup about Senator Kevin de Leon’s sanctuary bill, SB 54. And yesterday, the governor apparently got the changes he felt were necessary:

The amendments would give law enforcement agencies more discretion to notify federal immigration officials about convicted offenders in their custody and to transfer those offenders to immigration authorities.

The bill would still allow federal immigration officials to interview those in custody, though it will not permit those officials to maintain permanent office space in state prisons or local jails.

“This bill protects public safety and people who come to California to work hard and make this state a better place,” Brown said in a statement.(The Hill 9/12/17)

The changes also helped ease some of the opposition from law enforcement leaders that had been troubling to the governor’s office. And now, I suppose the ball is in the court of AG Sessions to get all mad and storm off with whatever block grants to the state aren’t glued down to the floor.

The agreement is getting praise from other state leaders as well.

“From the moment Donald Trump won the White House, California Democrats have been tirelessly working to protect and shield undocumented Californians from the federal Government,” said California Democratic Party Chair Eric Bauman.

“One of the cornerstones of that effort is SB 54 by Senator Kevin de Leon, and California Democrats are deeply grateful that he and Governor Brown have reached agreement on final language that ensures California’s law enforcement agencies are not used as instruments of federal immigration enforcement. Californians welcome our undocumented brothers and sisters, and the use of California’s peace officers against our own brothers and sisters would have been unconscionable and dangerously corrosive to the trust law enforcement needs from the community to keep Californians safe. This is a powerful message of inclusion and reassurance to Undocumented Californians, and I urge the Legislature to approve this bill as swiftly as possible.”

We must do more to create affordable housing

Legislative package faces steep hurdles this week

by Brian Leubitz

A sample of SF housing listings on Craigslist right now.

The California housing situation is bad. Really, extremely bad in some places like San Francisco where housing affordability levels put families making over $100,000 into contention for affordable units. Getting housing at less than $2000/bedroom/month is really hard. I think we can all agree that is crazy. And across the state, there is a long-standing shortage of both market rate and affordable housing. That situation was not improved with the ending of the redevelopment districts a few years ago. While supply and demand cannot fix everything, we clearly need to build a lot of additional housing units (of every affordability level) across the state.

The Senate has a legislative package for that:

The two marquee measures — Senate Bill 35 from Sen. Scott Wiener (D-San Francisco) and Senate Bill 3 from Sen. Jim Beall (D-San Jose) — would force cities that have fallen behind on their state housing production goals to reduce some of the hoops they put in place to approve developments and would authorize a $3-billion bond to spend on low-income housing on the 2018 statewide ballot.

“What the bill does do is create actual accountability,” Wiener said of SB 35. “Because local control is about how you meet your housing goals, not whether you meet your housing goals.” (LAT – 6/30/17)

Much of the package passed one house already, but several of the bills in this package have faced stumbling blocks. Most notably, Sen. Toni Atkins is trying to pass a $75 fee on non-home sale real estate transactions, but the 2/3 requirement is giving a lot of power to Bakersfield’s Rudy Salas in providing the final vote. Though, he seems to have found something that would work for him by presenting a bill that added a low-income exception to the fee. And then there’s Richard Bloom’s bill to allow municipalities to require some number of affordable units:

Also late Friday, Assemblyman Richard Bloom (D-Santa Monica) changed his legislation, AB 1505, which would allow cities to force developers to set aside a certain number of homes in their projects for low-income residents. Brown has long opposed the policy, vetoing a similar bill in 2013 and saying the policy generally makes it harder to attract development to low- and middle-income communities.(LAT – 9/11/17)

The next week will decide the fate of several of these bills, though many will face some pretty tough scrutiny in Gov. Brown’s Horseshoe as well.

The NRA comes up with new excuses to keep weapons on our streets

Gun
National group funded by gun manufacturers files suit against assault weapons regulations

by Brian Leubitz

The NRA has a problem in California. They don’t have their normal power here, but they are still awash in money. So, the money goes to the lawyers instead of the politicians, because it is pretty tough to get Democrats to touch the stuff these days. The lawyers are getting quite creative too:

The new lawsuit, filed Thursday in Fresno Superior Court, seeks to block the new regulations, arguing that new rules requiring registration of existing assault weapons “go far beyond” the allowed registration process, and “unlawfully expand the scope” of the state’s registration requirement. (LA Times)

Long story short, the legislation banned guns with a “bullet button” that allowed for easy clip transfer. The NRA already sued on that one. But the guns that were out in circulation get to stay in their owners possession, but they have to be registered. The NRA likes neither of these, and sued on both aspects.

It will be a while before we get a final ruling on these cases, but we may see some sort of short term action in the interim.

Ending DACA Would be Disastrous for California

CDEL7558
Congress must take action immediately.
by Brian Leubitz

The rumors are growing that Trump is planning on “ending DACA as we know it” on Friday.

President Trump plans to end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program “as it exists today” on Friday, Fox News reports.

Under DACA, nearly 800,000 people brought to the country illegally as children have received work permits and deferral from deportation.

According to Fox, a senior administration official told correspondent John Roberts that Trump would end the program “as early as” Friday. (The Hill)

This would not only be a disaster for the recipient Dreamers but also for our state and nation. Nearly a quarter of a million Californians have been accepted into the DACA program, allowing these young immigrants to get jobs, live their lives, and California is better for it.

According to federal data, close to 223,000 young people have been approved for DACA in California in the program’s five-year history. If DACA recipients lose their work eligibility, there will be ripple effects, said Bill Hing, who teaches immigration law at the University of San Francisco.

“These folks will be driven underground, and the underground economy will expand, because folks are afraid,” Hing said. “They are going to be working under the table. We will lose overnight the economic contributions of 200-plus thousand folks in California, and that is going to hurt our economy.” (KQED)

Congress needs to take immediate action to fix this looming crisis. There have been indications that there could be votes for setting up some legal status for Dreamers in the house when an amendment in support of the Dreamers saw a flurry of Republican votes:

Twenty-six Republicans rebelled against an amendment to the spending bill that would end President Barack Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, or DACA — an initiative that has granted stays of deportation to thousands of young undocumented immigrants, many of whom were brought into the country illegally by their parents. Though they are all staunch critics of Obama and oppose his unilateral changes to immigration policy, they cannot reconcile that opposition with their overall support for the policies he has put into place. The amendment, sponsored by Rep. Marsha Blackburn, R-Tenn., passed — just barely — by a vote of 218-209.

Some of the Republicans who voted against the provision are those who typically oppose legislative language to roll back DACA or other similar programs offering deportation relief within certain immigrant communities, and strongly support passing comprehensive immigration overhaul legislation: Reps. Mario Diaz-Balart and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida; Jeff Denham and David Valadao of California; and Mike Coffman of Colorado, among others. (RollCall)

Now, seeing as how this is a Republican Congress with a crazy man in the White House, you never know what is going to happen. But this is a rare opportunity for bipartisan action. Let’s just hope that the current occupant of the White House can see past his own rhetoric to find some compassion.

The Republicans Have Reserved Seating for Climate Change Believers

Chad Mayes gets moved to the back

by Brian Leubitz

Asm. Chad Mayes stands next to Gov. Brown, a big no-no in Republican circles. Rich Pedroncelli / AP

Yesterday, the Assembly Republicans shifted some deck chairs on the Titanic, and got a new leader for their superminority come next legislative session. Chad Mayes got the boot for acknowledging that climate change was real (while negotiating some odious provisions) and voting for the cap and trade legislation. And so, he has a very special seat at the back of the Republican caucus reserved for heretics.

“Once again, elected Republican legislators have shown that they can’t abide heresy – in this case, acknowledgement that climate change is real and requires real solutions. Mayes, in organizing Republican votes for AB 398, showed more political courage than any member of the federal Climate Solutions Caucus… and lost his position as Assembly Minority Leader. This vote only reinforces our belief that there’s no reasoning with Republicans on climate solutions. The only real solution is to vote them out,” said RL Miller, chair of the California Democratic Party’s environmental caucus as well as the president of Climate Hawks Vote, a PAC building political power for the climate movement.

At this point, the need for Republican votes is rare. Logically, they should seize the opportunity whenever they can. But that would require compromise to achieve some semblance of results on their goals, and the base DOES NOT LIKE compromise.

New Assembly Minority Leader Brian Dahle with his daughter, not a member of the Assembly GOP Caucus

And so Chad Mayes is shifted to the side. And given that the base at home is quite unhappy, he may face a nasty primary challenge next year as well. But the problem Republicans face is that they are damned if they do, damned if they don’t. Mayes actually managed to get some pretty unpalatable provisions in the cap and trade legislation that were something of a giveaway to the oil and business lobby. You know, the GOP money people, but his base at home simply doesn’t like negotiating anything with Democrats, especially anything that acknowledges that climate change is real.

But don’t worry about Mayes, he’ll find a nice paycheck somewhere now lobbying for some corporate interest. But the lesson here is clear for the GOP: “No negotiating. We like our irrelevancy and screaming from the cheap seats.”

Californians support Single Payer as new analysis shows lower cost

PPIC poll shows support for single payer

by Brian Leubitz

Building on Robert’s recent post about the cost of single payer, we now have some new data showing that Californians would like to see some form of single payer in the state. PPIC has just released a new poll showing strong support…with a hitch:

As the state legislature considers Senate Bill 562, which would establish a single-payer state health insurance program, 65 percent of all adults and 56 percent of likely voters say they favor such a plan. But support falls to 42 percent of adults and 43 percent of likely voters if the plan would raise taxes. Overall, strong majorities of Democrats (75%) and independents (64%) favor a single-payer plan, while a strong majority of Republicans (66%) are opposed.

Now, the thing is that given the premium model that we are all used to, there wouldn’t have to be additional taxes. We could even keep the insurance companies around to manage the collection of premiums and the payment, if you are inclined to do so.

All that being said, a new economic analysis by a team of economists at the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI) at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, shows that the $400 Billion figure may have been too high. The report says that the total cost of healthcare in California will fall from $368.5 billion to $331 billion with the passage of SB 562.

As Robert showed in his post, premiums would likely go down for most, if not all, consumers. Depending on who you ask, average premiums are approaching $400 per person in California. That’s close to the $200 billion that we need to come up with according to the (rather high) LAO estimates, and more than the UMass analysis estimates.

Single payer is doable. Moreover, it now appears to be the only stable (and just) system of health care that we have come up with. The AHCA is an incomplete mess. The ACA could last for a few more years if we had an administration that wasn’t trying to kneecap it at every opportunity, but when you look at this graph, are there really any mysteries left about whether we need radical change in our health care delivery model?

 

The Quest for Single Payer Continues

Sens. Atkins and Lara keep up the fight

by Brian Leubitz

There is content on Calitics about single payer from the early days.  Shiela Kuehl was pushing it back then, but the legislation goes back to the 90s.

A grassroots movement for the establishment of a single-payer health care financing system in California (CA) has been building since the 1990s. In 1992, state Senator Nick Petris introduced a single-payer bill in the state legislature. Insurance Commissioner John Garamendi created a plan for universal coverage with a modified single-payer approach that passed the legislature, but was vetoed by Governor Pete Wilson. In 1994, a single-payer ballot initiative, Proposition 186, was defeated in the face of strong opposition by industry stakeholders. The initiative increased public awareness of single payer and was followed up in 1998 by introduction of Senate Bill (SB) 2123, calling for establishment of a universal single-payer system in the state. This bill led to a resolution calling for a study to compare different models of financing universal health care, including single payer. (Healthcare For All)

The history goes on and on. And it is still going today:

California lawmakers are considering an audacious proposal that would substantially remake the state’s health care system by eliminating insurance companies and guaranteeing coverage for everyone.

The idea known as single-payer health care has long been popular on the left. It’s gaining traction with liberals as President Donald Trump struggles with his efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act(AP)

Given Gov. Brown’s previous hesitance and the many outstanding questions surrounding the future of Obamacare, this is a big lift. Ultimately, single payer is the way we have to be going if we are to truly control health care costs. But for a California single payer system to work, it would need a lot of federal money and a lot of federal waivers. Federal waivers that are very unlikely to come under the current administration.

That being said, the bill, co-authored by Sens. Ricardo Lara and Toni Atkins, is important if for nothing else than getting stories like the AP story above. If we are to move towards a more fair health care system, we need to do whatever we can to move the ball forward, even if it is just the smallest amount. Senators Atkins and Lara are doing just that.

Schwarzenegger Continues His Gerrymandering Crusade

I’ll admit it. I was against changing how we did our redistricting. Perhaps it was fear of change, but ultimately, it didn’t turn out that badly. California has largely sorted itself politically anyway, with progressives on the coast, and more conservative voters inland. Gerrymandering can’t change that, but at the margins, differences can be made.

And while there wasn’t a whole lot of turnover after the 2010 census redistricting that was the first under our new redistricting system, there were a handful of districts that became more competitive. Cook puts the following districts as “competitive”:

Lean Dem Toss-up Lean Rep Likely Rep
CA-07 Bera CA-49 Issa CA-10 Denham CA-21 Valadao
CA-24 Carbajal CA-25 Knight CA-39 Royce
CA-45 Walters
CA-48 Rohrabacher

Now, that’s just 9 of the 53 California districts that can even be considered competitive. I suppose you never know what will happen given the craziness of the last election and the current administration, but let’s just go with this list.

I actually think Schwarzenegger means well here. Gerrymandering is a problem, to the extent that we have not already sorted ourselves. Where the problem is really acute, and Republicans have drawn themselves outlandishly favorable maps, it will make a difference. And so for that, this is a worthwhile effort.

To be clear, the reason Congress is worse than herpes goes far deeper than gerrymandering. But if Arnold is only going to take on one thing, there are probably worse uses of his time than this.

Dana Rohrabacher: Macedonia “is not a country”

Well, that went over well in Skopje

by Brian Leubitz

US Congressman Dana Rohrabacher is one of the most significant people in the House of Representatives. Or at least that’s what the Google translate says of the Albanian text from the video below, where the OC Republican says that Macedonia is not a country. It’s in Albanian, so, there’s that.

From Vision Plus Albania (via Google Translate)

US Congressman Dana Rohrabacher is one of the most significant people in the House of Representatives. As a former aide to President Reagan, Mr. Rohrabacher likes to give a jolt of internal policies and external. He expects enthusiastically carrying out such a policy by the new President of Vizion Plus Trump.Kamera was within the Congress, Mr. Rohrabacher’s office a few days after he sent a letter to Serbian President Nikolic, in which, sought to examine the possibility of exchange of territories in the north of Kosovo as the best solution. Rohrabacher goes further: Let’s change the boundaries of Macedonia.

And from the UK Independent:

“Kosovars and Albanians from Macedonia should be part of Kosovo and the rest of Macedonia should be part of Bulgaria or any other country to which they believe they are related,” he told Albanian TV channel, Vizion Plus. “The idea is to keep Macedonia alive because someone 30 years ago decided it is a configuration that should come out of the dismantling of Yugoslavia, does not lead to an explanation that this idea is still held.”

I’ll not claim to be an expert on the Balkans, but I am confident that there is, in fact, a Macedonian people that speak Macedonian. And, for some reason, they don’t take kindly to American Congressmen saying that they shouldn’t exist:

“His expressed views generated immense anxiety regarding Macedonia and the region,” [the Macedonian government] said in a statement. “They inflame nationalist rhetoric in the neighbouring regions, taking us back into the past. We believe that the US State Department will adequately remove any doubt about the stated positions and will affirm its policy towards Macedonia and the Balkans.”

Described by Republican Senator John McCain as one of the party’s “lunatic fringe”, Mr Rohrabacher is a staunch defender of Russia. In the past he has called accusations of human rights abuses in the country, “baloney”.

And yes, Rohrabacher is down with Putin’s Russia. Click the read more button to see a fun video of a tussle between Joe Scarborough and ol’ Dana where he thinks that Putin is just the strong man we need to help defeat terrorism, just like our old friend Stalin. Continue reading Dana Rohrabacher: Macedonia “is not a country”