All posts by Brian Leubitz

Give Them What They Want

Over at the California Progress Report, Peter Schrag has another excellent post.  This time he asks the Governor to give the Republicans what they want, the concept of an all_cuts budget and let them see how they dea with it.

How much pain and inconvenience will taxpayers have to suffer before they understand that there’s no such thing as a free lunch? How many potholes and unsafe bridges; how many cancelled university classes; how high the tuition; how short the school calendar; how slow the response from the fire department, how long the wait at the DMV? Or do we simply not care? The governor, said GOP Assembly leader Connie Conway, is trying to scare people by trying to tell them that the budget deficit either requires even more severe cuts than the state has already made or the tax extensions the governor wants. That’s a false choice, quoth she, “It’s disingenuous to scare people.”

You can fix it all with fiddles and efficiency. And pigs can fly. The governor and his fellow Democrats say they’re not trying to scare people, just going to tell the facts, though he’s also said –as he did at a meeting of the Service Employees International Union the other day –that the worst case scenario [meaning no tax extensions] would be really ugly. He also says he’s going to focus on Republican districts and is urging his backers to “hug” a Republican. That’s not quite like saying kiss a frog, hoping he’ll turn back into a prince, but close enough.

So, what would the GOP do? And will we findout?

Dan Walters Calls Out Jim Beall

In Sacramento, dumb ideas don’t have a party affiliation.  Dan Walters calls out Democratic Santa Clara County Assemblyman Jim Beall out for a doozy:

Assemblyman Jim Beall, D-San Jose, is carrying Assembly Bill 81, which would protect airlines from paying higher sales taxes on their fuel purchases in California when prices spike upward. It would levy taxes on the average of spot fuel prices for the preceding five years, rather than on the current price.

The State Board of Equalization estimates that if enacted, the measure would reduce sales tax revenue by $108 million a year – just about what Vasconcellos’ software loophole costs, interestingly enough.

Like the Vasconcellos measure, the Beall bill would grant corporations a tax break that ordinary consumers don’t get. Motorists would still pay higher taxes when fuel prices spike. (SacBee)

At a time of budgetary crisis, this is an exceedingly bad idea.  It puts stability of the airlines fuel taxes over the stability of our schools.  United’s bottom line over health care services for the elderly.

We already have too many loopholes in a disorganized and inefficient tax system, it’s not time to create more.

Campaigning So Soon?

Well, we had an election six months ago, and we’re not going to have a special election anytime soon, but members of both parties are out and about making their case to the people:

Brown will visit an elementary school today in Riverside and a California Cadet Corps celebration Saturday in Los Alamitos. Both are in Republican legislative districts represented by senators who negotiated last month with the Democratic governor.

“The governor has spent a lot of time in Sacramento so far trying to allow people to vote on tax extensions,” said Gil Duran, Brown’s press secretary. “Those efforts have been blocked by Republican obstruction, so now he’s going to talk directly to the people.”

Republican and Democratic lawmakers said Thursday they are also launching road efforts to drive home their points.(SacBee)

Of course, this game plays both ways as the Republicans are launching a few salvos and spreading the word amongst their base.  Bob Dutton called out the Governor for appearing in his district to talk budget issues.

I’d expect this to last a few weeks as the parties jockey for position before a potential Brown-supported budget initiative got started.  I hope to get to one of these forums, and if you happen to stop at one, let us know how it goes.

Permanent Minority

Over at the Bee, Dan Morain has a great comparison piece between today’s California Democratic Party and the Republicans.  One of them understand the importance of a unified community, the other is grasping at nativism (and not very well) to rile up an angry base.  

Democratic strategist Richie Ross who marched with Chavez and for decades has been chief strategist for the farmworkers union, stood off to the side, soaking it in.

“This is about power,” Ross said later.

On Monday, Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, a first-term Republican from San Bernardino County, stood on the north steps of the Capitol with seven other Republican Assembly members. Before being elected, Donnelly had been part of the Minutemen, the group that claims to combat illegal immigration by patrolling the U.S.-Mexico border.

Donnelly announced that he was pushing Arizona-style legislation to make illegal immigration a crime under California law. As an added attraction, Donnelly brought a special guest, Arizona state Sen. Russell Pearce, who last year authored the anti-illegal immigration law. …

Republican strategist Marty Wilson watched it all. “Very counterproductive to the expansion of the Republican base,” Wilson told me.(SacBee)

With redistricting coming up, and a strange process at that, it’s hard to forecast partisan breakdown. However, one thing is clear, with the increasing diversity of the state, attacking minorities is not really a politically sensible thing to do.  Even much of the GOP, like Wilson, and the entire Bush crew, recognize.  But they’ve long ago lost control of their party to the nativist extremists.

In California, where Latinos account for roughly 38% of the population, and will soon account for a higher percentage than non-Latino Caucasians, it just seems like a really, really bad idea.  But you know, Russell Pearce was there, so yay!

I know the Republicans aren’t looking to really get a majority, but if they don’t watch it with this stuff, they’ll soon find it hard to get even 1/3 of the Legislature.

Giving Cultural Genocide a Bad Name

Diane Harkey isn’t known for being the most sedate legislator around.  Or really being the most up on the issues, or even bothering an attempt at understanding.  So, while this blows past absurd on the way to crazytown, you can’t really be that surprised by this comment, captured by the always on the spot Carla Marinucci:

CA GOP Assemblywoman Diane Harkney calls high speed rail “cultural genocide” in Central Valley at today’s press conference w Rep officials(Carla Marinucci Twitter)

Of course, the problem with twitter is that you don’t really get that much of the context, so you could see this in two ways. First, that we are somehow destroying car culture.  That would make some sort of sense if peak oil already wasn’t in gear on that one.  I think a $5 gallon of gas would do more than a competitive mode of transportation.

The State Park Conundrum

In a treeIf you’ve read much of my writing here in the past, you’ll have seen that I’m a pretty big fan of the state park system.  I’m something of an outdoor enthusiast, with a particular love for hiking in my coastal neighborhood.

But for the past several years, the parks have been in a constant state of flux due to the budget crisis.  Arnold Schwarzenegger proposed closing 80% of them, which would be a tragedy for the system, and for the state.  Jerry Brown doesn’t seem to want to go that high, but he’s clearly on the way to closing some parks.  He just won’t tell you which and how many:

Brown instructed the state parks department to draw up by mid-February a list of parks to be closed to save $11 million this year and $22 million next year.

But today, three months later, as millions of Californians prepare for summer vacations to state beaches, forests and historic sites, the names of the parks to be closed remain a tightly held secret.

The lack of disclosure has rangers anxious, legislators uninformed and parks advocates frustrated.

“We’re quite disturbed we haven’t seen the list,” said Elizabeth Goldstein, president of the California State Parks Foundation, a nonprofit advocacy group. “We think if there’s any chance for the nonprofit community to step up and help the state when it looks like parks are going to be closing, the more time organizations have to plan, the more likely we’ll find some kind of interim solutions.” (MediaNews)

There are a number of problems here. First, the State Park system brings in a not insignificant amount of money to the state, through tourism and related expenses.  That tax revenue won’t just completely dry up and will likely find other mechanisms and other parks, but it simply won’t be totally replaced.

There is of course another option that continually peers its head over the parks system. Privatization.  And really, if we were to close any significant parks you would expect such privatization to start its creep pretty quickly.  Of course, it would start rather benignly, with the offer to help “support” a park, for some form of advertising, and then it would eventually grow to parks being owned and/or operated by outside systems.

In fact, I know this to be true.  Take the Willow Creek Addition to the Sonoma Coast State Park.  It was given to the state in the early part of this decade, but we couldn’t afford to take it in.  So, a really great non-profit, LandPaths, stepped up to help run it.  They don’t charge anything, but they do require that you go to an orientation to be able to enter the park.  They just don’t have the resources to provided a complete level of services that you’d find at a state park.  

Don’t get me wrong, I think LandPaths is providing a tremendous service, but I think even the folks there would prefer that the park be integrated into the state parks system.  Parks should be public, with open access to anybody who wants to visit.

So, at some point we’ll get some sort of list, likely after the budget process.  And non-profits will go about finding some way for at least some of those parks to stay open.  But, it will be one more step on the road to public/private state parks, where they cost more to enter, and what was once California’s promise steps further away from reality.

 

Californians: We Support Our Public Workers

Yesterday, we saw with strong turnouts at We are One rallies across the state, that Californians don’t take kindly to the anti-worker tone emanating from some of the other statehouses.  But now we have numbers:

In the aftermath of major demonstrations by labor unions on Monday to honor Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr.’s death and to bring attention to working families, the California Federation of Teachers (CFT) today released new polling results showing that 56% of California voters have a favorable view of public employees and 61% support their right to bargain together. With public sector workers under assault and major battles over union rights in Wisconsin, California voters also sided with the Wisconsin public employees (56%) over its governor (37%). (Tulchin Research/CFT)

The poll asked 800 Californians a variety of questions on public workers, and they basically all turned up the same answer: Californians understand that public workers have a tough job, and that they should be supported.

Brown Signs Last of Slashing Budget Bills

Jerry Brown signed all but one of the budget bills a while ago, but he’s been hanging on to the prison realignment bill for a while.  There were a bunch of reasons of this, but Brown’s team never got around to saying any of them.  Well, he went ahead and signed it:

Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown signed a bill late Monday that aims to make a key part of his budget proposal a reality — AB109, which authorizes the transfer of thousands of state prisoners to local jails (and also shifts various other criminal justice functions away from the state and down to the county level).

One problem: Brown planned to fund the measure with tax increases and extensions — you know, the ones vehemently opposed by Republicans. The governor had hoped to put those taxes before voters in June, but threw in the towel last week after being stymied by that GOP opposition.(SF Chronicle)

So, yeah, the biggest reason for the delay would be that the state hasn’t made any provisions to fund this transfer.  But, no matter how the deal goes down, it is tough to imagine that Brown can balance the budget without this component.  And I can’t imagine the legislature, even if it is just the Democrats, would really want to vote on this measure for a second time.  So, Brown went ahead and signed it.

Ultimately, what this says to me is that Brown hasn’t given up on this realignment/tax extensions plan.  He has a few months before the taxes expire, and as of yet, we’re still waiting for signature gatherers on the streets.  If the Governor is aiming for a November election, the time line is getting rather short to go the way of the initiative.  Not desperate yet, but we would expect to see something soon.

The Blame Game

Joel Fox tries his hand at rebutting the fingers pointing at the Republicans in the Legislature today by trying the old expansion theme:

Let me be clear. I support the position that the Republicans should use their leverage to get spending and pension reforms on the ballot in exchange for tax extensions, which they could then oppose. Republicans could never get such reforms past the Democratic majority under normal circumstances.

However, the taint of failure of the budget talks won’t stain the Republicans alone.

Because of the budget talk collapse, it appears that big decisions on the budget and governance could be headed to the ballot though the initiative process. Frankly, major policy decisions have been made through the initiative process for years. With the people making important policy decisions, the relevance of the legislature is diminished. (Fox and Hounds)

As a spin move, that’s a pretty good one.  It gets your basic point out there about Republicans being able to use their superminority power while still shunting the blame off to others.  Of course, he doesn’t really explain why he thinks that the Republicans should get what they want, after all they lost all the statewide offices and continue to barely break the 1/3 threshold.  But he does make a valid point on the fact that the legislature is losing its power to the people through the initiative process.

This is a bad thing for a number of reasons.  In a state of nearly 40 million, it makes sense to choose a few folks who can sit around all day and work on these issues.  My biggest concern with the initiative process (though not my only concern) is that the voters simply don’t have time to really analyze what’s going on here.  It’s like two groups of kids arguing over a stickball game and then hoping their parents, who probably aren’t even watching, can settle the disagreement.  People in the Sacramento bubble think that their world is extremely important and meaningful throughout the state.  And that’s true for a fairly large cross section of the state, but most voters go to the polls and vote based primarily on a few tv spots and web ads they saw.

Representative democracy works.  It’s worked since 1789 at the federal level, and it can work now.  That it is failing here doesn’t mean that we should just abandon it, or pile more ridiculous burdens on top of it.  We just need to clear the clutter away.  

So, yes, I do think we need to drastically chip away at the power of the initiative system.  Too often it is controlled by special interests (on both sides), and today it is basically to the point that Chevron doesn’t really need to worry about the legislature, because they can always dump $50 million on the ballot and get the results they want (See Prop 26).

Let’s cut away the Senate, and move to a 180 member (or so) Assembly unencumbered by any supermajority rules and just let the people of California rule themselves.  Trust the people to elect people of merit. Representative democracy has worked for millenia, why ditch that until we have something better?